Bureau of Business Research Graduate School of Business Administration University of Michigan ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY OF SOCIOECONOMIC INFORMATION: SEA GRANT PROGRAM Working Paper No. 42 by Chrystie King William R. Cook Research Assistants Prepared for the Sea Grant Program at the University of Michigan July 1971 FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY None of this material is to be quoted or reproduced without the express permission of the Bureau of Business Research

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FOREWORD This annotated bibliography is a necessary result of the extensive amount of information that has been gathered by the Bureau of Business Research in making a socioeconomic forecast for the ten-county Grand Traverse Bay region. The forecast is being undertaken as part of the Sea Grant Program at the University of Michigan. Members ofthe Sea Grant team in other disciplines should find the bibliography useful because of the broadness of its subject matter. The entries have been classified in major subject categories that are pertinent to the socioeconomic research being conducted. Entries are listed alphabetically within each category. Subject categories are economics, environment and natural resources, forecasting, management, planning, population, recreation and tourism, technology, and transportation. Many of the citations listed in the bibliography were difficult to organize because it was not always clear whether a name or an agency should be listed as author. An index of both authors and titles is provided at the end of the bibliography. The index of authors is crossreferenced to include all possible "authors" under which the publication might be found. John Ludlow Research Associate Bureau of Business Research University of Michigan

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CONTENTS Economics Environment and Natural Resources 9 Forecasting 16 Management 22 Planning 23 Population 27 Recreation and Tourism 28 Technology 30 Transportation 32 Index of Authors 33 Index of Titles 39

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ECONOMICS Allen, Gerald L. Colorado Ski and Winter Recreation Statistics, 1968. See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Armenakes, A. A.;Moore, H. J.; and Peden, G. T., Jr. Inland Port Facilities and Economic Growth. State College, Miss.: Division of Research, College of Business and Industry, Mississippi State University, 1970. Four basic purposes of the study are to analyze the role of inland port facilities in economic growth, construct the industrial structure of each inland port county with respect to those groups that utilize water transportation, determine the interindustry demand among groups of industries that use water transportation, and analyze the differentials among inland port counties. Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy." See FORECASTING. Bass, Frank M. "A New Product Model for Growth Consumer Durables." See FORECASTING, Battelle Memorial Institute. Columbus (Ohio) Laboratories, Industries Suited for the URer Great Lakes Reion. Report by David C. Sweet, John M. Griffin, and Hal S. Maggied for the Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission, 1970. Evaluates industries best suited for the Upper Great Lakes region. Identified industries have certain characteristics thatmake their potential for locating in the region higher than that of other industries.. Socio-Economic Research Section. The Michigan Manpower Stud Phase. I. See POPULATION. * Socio-Economic Research Section. Manpower and Regional Economics Div. The Michigan Manpower Study —Final Reort. See POPULATION. Blome, Donald A. The Proosed Sleeping Bar Dunes National Lakeshore —An Assessment of the Economic Im ac Lansing, Mich,: Institute for Community Development and Services, Michigan State University, Sept., 1967. Analyzes the economic effect on agriculture, manufacturing, forestry, and tourism in Benzie and Leelanau counties if the Sleeping Bear Dunes become a national lakeshore. (Continued) -1 -

ECONOMICS- -Cont inued Bronder, Leonard D., and Koval, John M. Michigan's Economic Past: Basis for Proseerit. Technical Report No. 10A. Lansing, Mich.: State Ressoulrce Planning Division, Office of Economic Expansion., Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Traces the development of Michigan's economy'from the turn of the century to the present (1967). Covers employment and income trends, explains and provides shift-share analysis of employment changes. ___ Michi gan's Future: Its Popula.tion and Its Econom. Technical Report No. O1B, Lans ing Mich.: StateResource lanningDivision, Office of Economic Expansion, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Traces the development of urban centers and establishes the relation between the economic prosperity of the state and the long-run pattern of immigration. Contains economic as well as population data for the year 1980. -Economic forecasting methodology is given in the Michigan Manpaowr. Study Brown, yro Br B., Jr. 'Esortmplo ment Multiplier Analysis of:a M ajor Industrial Co mm. ni Study No. 7. Houston, Tex.: Center for Research in Business and Economics, University of Houston, 1964. A study of basic and total employment relations in the Houston Metropolitan Area.: Bulkley, J. W., and Garman, Cynthia. "Sea Grant Planning: Semiars: Ann Arbor-May 11-13, 1970 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970." See PIANNING. Carter, Anne P. "The Economics of Technological Change." Sientific American, CCXIV (Apr., 1966). Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrery C. An Overview of the Ecoqoic Potential of Sport S and CoOmeicial Fisheries in.the Upper Great Lakes Reion. Technical Reep;rt No. 3. East Lansing,- Mieh:t Recreation Research and Plagnntng Unit., Department of Resource Deve lopment, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Michigan State University, Nov., 1968.' The planning statement outlintes the present situation, points out the problems- and potentials and suggests program directionts tqr achieving desirable development of the, region's sport and coimercial fisheries... Daniel, Mann, Johnson, & Mendenhall, Consultants. Economic Forecasts for the CGit of Laguna Beach California —General Plan Proam'. Report prepared for the city of Laguna Beach, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 547, (tn tinued) -2-.;:.1 ^;: '.

ECONOMICS - -Continued Darnton, Donald C., and Meiburg, Charles 0. The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Economy of the Commonwealth, Charlottesville, Va.: Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia, Oct., 1968. This report on the contributions of Virginia's ports to the state's economy introduces changes in method and scope that distinguish the resulting estimates from those of earlier studies. Dean, Burton V., et al. A Preliminary Report on the Economic Impact of Research and Development Budg Decrements. Cleveland, Ohio: Case Western Reserve University, Dec., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, AD 703 897. This study determines what effect a decrement in the financing of research and development projects by the federal government will have on research organizations and on the local regional economy. A computer simulation model to investigate such effects is developed. Economic Base Report. Ann Arbor, Mich.: Planning Dept. and Planning Commission, Aug., 1965. In this study generalizations about university towns are tested against available facts, and additional conclusions suggested by the data are advanced. Edwards, Dale, and Blasius, Richard. Michigan Port Hinterlands as Determined by Inland Carrier Class Rates. Technical Report No. 8. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. The study offers some facts and figures about the relation between Michigan ports and the state's total commerce and industry,,,,0 ~ and gives further impetus to the full use of the St. Lawrence Seaway. Floyd, Charles F. Economic Growth in the Upper Great Lakes Region 1950-1967. Prepared for the Office of Economic Research, Economic Development Administration, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C., Apr., 1970. The study defines the income gap, documents its magnitude in the Upper Great Lakes region, analyzes the reasons for the slow employment growth, and projects the region's employment growth to 1980. Fogel, M. E., et al. "Comprehensive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regions." See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Guide to Economic Projections and Forecasts. See FORECASTING. (Continued) -3 -

ECONOMICS —Cont inued Haber, William; Spivey, W. Allen; and Warshaw, Martin R., eds. Michgan in the 1970s: An Economic Forecast. Michigan Business Studies Vol..XVI, No, 4. Ann Arbor, Mich.,: Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Michigan, 1965. An examination of the problems of Michigan's industrial economy and how-successfully it can adjust to economic change in the 1970s, The following topics are included: the national economy, the supply of capital in the United States, a demographic analysis of Michigan, the future of the Detroit Metropolitan Area,_ and the social structure of the Michigan labor market. Hazard, John L. Michi an's Commerce: Domestic and Internatil. Technical Report No. 5. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planing Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Apr., 1966. Analyzes the size, scope, and structure of Michigan's trade with other states and foreign nations and Michigan s current commercial role. "Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963." Survey of Current Busine ss, Nov., 1969. Keeling, William B. The Georgia Travel Industry: 1960-1968. iSee RECREATION AND TOURISM.: et, etl. Economic Im act of the Pro osed Cumberland Island National Seashore. Report prepared for the National Park Service,.US, Dept. of the Interior. Athens, Ga.: Bureau of.Business and Economic Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Georgia, 1968. The study determines how Camden and Glynn counties as well as the travel industry will be affected if the proposal to develop Cumberland Island as a national park is carried out by the National- Park Service. Keiser, Sheron Ann. A Survey of Mlt i-Cou Cootperation in iNorth Carolina. See PLANNING,. Kievat, Irene M. Mchizans naower Resources.. Technical Reoport No. 10C. Lansing, Mich.: State Reso rce Planning Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Sets forth the demands for occupational skills which will be generated by tthe future course of our business and industrial development.: Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." See TRANSPORTATION. (Continued) -4-

ECONOMICS - Cont inued Lamont, Larry. "Michigan's Chemical Industry." Unpublished report prepared for the Industrial Development Division, Institute of Science and Technology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Mich., 1968. An intensive study of Michigan's chemical industry —one of the state's most important industries —and its problems. Leontief, Wassily W. "Input-Output Economics." See FORECASTING. * "The Structure of Development." Scientific American, Sept., 1963. Analysis of an economy by the input-output method reveals its internal structure, which is dictated largely by technology. Applied to underdeveloped economies, the technique maps out paths -to growth. L. "The Structure of the U.S. Economy l Scient ific American, CCXII (Apr., 1965). __ and Hoffenberg, Marvin. "The Economic Effects of Disarmament.. Scientific American, CCIV (Apr. 1961), The technique. of inputoutput analysis is adopted to facilitate forecasting the effect on sales and jobs if funds now expended for military purposes are reallocated. Liu, Ben-Chieh. "The Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66. Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, X (Spring, 1970). Loebs, Stephen F. The Traverse City Affiliation in Extended Care See PLANNING. Lofting, E. M., and McGauhey, P. H. ".An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements." See FORECASTING. Maki, Wilbur R. "Small Area Applications of Input/Output." See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of Commerce, Northwest Michigan Development District and the Office of Community Planning. Commn and Area Plannin and Develo ment in the Northwest Michigan Develo ment District. Mich. P-295.- Lansing, Michigan, May, 1970. The status of planning among the units of government in the Northwest Development District is shown in an inventory of the enabling statutes under which planning and zoning bodies are established and of current planning studies, technical assistance, implementive tools, and educational programs. (Continued) -5 -

ECONOMICS —Cont inued Michigan. Executive Office of the Govenor. Bureau of Planning and Program Development. Office of Planning Coordination. Michigan's Plannling and Development Regions Delineation Criteria and Comments. See PLANNING. Mississippi State University. College of Business and Industry. Division.of Research. An Anasis of the Economic Feasibilit of Ex andin the Greenville Port Faclties Report to the Vicksburg District Corps of Engineers Vicksburg, Mississippi, 1970. The objectives of this report are to determine if a need exists to expand the Port of Greenville, Mississippi and, if so, when. "'1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II." Prepared by the editors of Industrial Developmenti Atlanta, Ga.: Conway Research, Inc., 1970. Includes information about industry on growth factors, financing facts, legislative incentives and assistance, guides to sites and development organizations, bibliography, survey of the state development programs, and a checklist of site selection factors. Northwest Michigan Economic Development District Commission, Traverse City, Michigan. Prologue for Accelerated Growth of EconomL..i Oct., 1968. The report sets forth the economic profile of the district and provides the basis for the second phase of the program — the action plan. ~: Outdoor Recreation Resourcesion. Economic Studes of Outdoor Recreation. See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Pessemier, Edgar A. "Models for New-Product Decisions." See FORECASTING. Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demographic Characteristics —Saginaw County, Michi~.an. Mich. P-269. Saginaw, Mfich.: 'Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB8 190 056. This study includes estimates and projections of population, employment, housing, auto registrations, and land use for small areas and the city of Saginaw in the Saginaw SMSA. Analytical procedures are briefly defined and assumptions made concerning the future of. the local:area.. The intent of tihe study was to provide quantitative 'i npts to the comprehensive planning and transportation study planning processes of Saginaw County. Larry Smith and Co.., Inc., Real, Estate Consultants. Land Utilization and Marketability -St ud Cena Business District Urban Renewal Pro'ect Travers City Michgan Report prepared for Traverse City, Michigan, May 31, 1967. The study evaluates both the suitability of the potential and possible major land reuses for the redevelopment of the project area, as well as the marketability of land allocated for specific reuses. -6- (Continued)

ECONOMICS - -Continued Southwestern Pennsylvania Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternative Reional Develoment Patterns. See PLANNING. Suits, Daniel B. Econometric Model of ich. 1960. See FORECASTING. Econometric Mtodel of Michi3an, Compiled for the Office of Economic Expansion, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Lansing, Michigan, June, 1965. Presents the results of a statistical study of the Michigan economy and its relationships to the national economy. TRW Incorporated. Sytems Group. rGreater Cleveland Goals and Programs." See PLANNING. Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission Econoeic Ata er Great Ls Basin. Washington, D.C., Oct., 1968, Maps summarize data on the economy of the- region, which were drawn from county and other local entities. The maps make apparent at a glance significant distribu- tional aspects of population, economics, social, and institutional information.. Growth Centers and heir Potentials in the Uer Great Lakes eio, Report of the Commission. May, 1969. The Commission's report is a view of the region in terms of potential investment tareas. v Workin Papers and Regional Pro'ect Propsals for Early Action Progranm 3: Public Facilities and Services for Economic Develop ment, Dev mlental Aio Mar., 1968, Presents an immediate action program of urgently needed projects that are designed to increase the capacity and reliability of airports in carefully selected communities. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachussetts. Some Relevant Consderations forMetrootan Fiscal Polic. Final Report #4. Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 761, This report seeks to identify policies that local governments —on their own: in some cases or with federal support in others —can adopt to counter the distortions and other deleterious effects of the property tax which is, and will continue to be, their major source of revenue.. U.S. Department of Commerce, "Input-Output Transactions: 1961." See FORECASTING. _____ _* Economic Development Administration. Industrial Location as a Factor in Rgona Economic Development Washington, DC.: Government Printing Office, 1966. This report is designed to help regional commissions determine their role in industrial development.z -7- (Cont ud

ECONOMICS- -Cont Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresid Acres in Antrim and Xalfkaska Countie:..s~ '::i.~,-.~~~~~~~ -. re -8 -

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCESE Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkley, California. B ha oreline. Supplemental Report RP-2. May, 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 184 360. The report concerns a regional plan for the Bay area which is developed around five problems: shoreline development, parks and open space refuse disposal, transportation, and design of a regional information system. Ayres, Robert U. Technology and Urban Tranortation: Environmental ua lJ Cons iderations. See TRANSPORTATION. Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy." See FOBRCASTING. Behrrman, Abraham S. Water is Everb Business; The Chem_ Water Purification. Garden City, N.Y.: Anchor Books, 1968. a description of water sources, the author turns to the types soluble matter contained in natural waters and the techniques of After of of water purir lcac on. Besselievre, Edmund B. The Treatment of Industrial Wastes. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1969. A technical work on waste treatment, especially useful as a reference source for engineers in the field of industrial waste treatment. Includes data on governmental involvement in waste treatment programs and recent legislation relating to pollution. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission. Develo ment Standards. Dec., 1966. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information,, PB 184 379. The report gives a set of standards for determining future urban land needs —residential, commercial, and industrial —to be used for translation of population and economic activity projections into estimates of land needed for future development. Blome, Donald A. The Pro osed Slee ing Bear Du es National Lakeshore — An Assessment of the Economic Impact See ECONOMICS. Bramer, Henry C., and Motz, Donald J. The Economic Value of Water in Industrial Uses (A Continuation). See FORECASTING.. Briggs, Peter. Water The Vital Essence. New York: Harper & Row, 1967. A highly readable treatment of the origin of water, water research projects, and the problems of water control. (Continued ) -9-. I 'r

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrey C. An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sport and Commercial Fisheries in the Upper Great LakesRion. See ECONOMICS. Committee of Institutional Cooperation. Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy. An SfWaterand ae rRelated Research Re uirements in the GreatLakes Reion See PLANNING Cunningham, Floyd F. 1001 Questions Answered aboutaterResources. New York: Dodd, Mead & Co., 1967. Arranged in question-ananswer format, this book treats the problems of supply, development, and conservation of water, providing much information on the sources and consequences of pollution. Darnton, Donald C., and Meiburg Charles 0. The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Econory of the Conmonwealth.. See ECONOMICS. DeBell, Garret. The Environmental andbook. New York: Ballantine Books, Inc., 1970. This handbook was designed as a source of ideas and tactics for the April 22, i1970 National Environmental Teach-In. Experts discuss pollution, pesticides, waste disposal, survival, etc., and present constructive suggestions for individual and group action. DeTurk, Richard S. Mlanain Nthe Nau ral Enron ent Prepared for the Tri-State Transportaion Commission, New York, New York, Mar,, 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureiau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technica information, PB 190 290. A regional plan for water, sewage, ai' and 'refuse. Eutrophicatiorn: Causes, Conse ences, Correct:ives. Washingtoni, D.C.: Di~vision of:B3iology and Agriculture, National iResearch Counicil, 1969.e A collection of papers by linternational experts on the disastrous consequences of releasing excess nutrients and pollutantislinto the rivers, lakes, and seas., Fogel, M. E., et al. "Comprehensive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regions." Final report of the Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N. Carolina, Feb., 1970.. iPrepared for the National Air Pollution Control Administration of tnhe Department of Health, Education and Welfare. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 054. Based on estimates of costs of controlling emissions of selected pollutants from 22 sources within 100 lO etropoitan areas. Costs are presented by region and sources. (Continued) -10 -

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Gloyna, Earnest F., ed. Advances in Water Quat Imrovement. Austin, Tex.:., University of Texas Press, 1968. A series of scholarly articles on water pollution control and recent progress in water quality improvement. Contains the most advanced thinking on-waste-water handling, treatment, and disposal. Goldman, Marshall I., ed. Controllin Pollution: The Economics of a.Cleaner America. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1967. A collection of the writings of several biologists, economists, and others interested in the problems of air and water pollution. Hittman Associates, Inc. Forecastin Micipal Water Requre nts. See FORECASTING. Keeling, William B., et al Economc Impact of the Proposed Cumberland Island National Seashore. See ECONOMICS, a ichjan Basi t Michian Section. Jan,. 1968. Pamphlet prepared by the League of Women Voters of Michigan on existing problems and control measures in the Michigan Section of the Lake Michigan Basin. Lofting, E. M., and McGauhey, Po H. "An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements."' See FORECASTING. Males, Richard M,:; Gates, William E.; and Walker, Junius F. A Dnamic Model of Water ualit Management Decison-Mki See FORECASTING. Mellanby, Kenneth. Pesticides and Pollution, London: William Collins Sons & Co., Ltd., 1967. Concise descriptions of the chemical properties and effects of pesticides and the various forms of pollutants affecting air, rivers, and seas. Nedved, Thomas K. "Pesticides in the Grand Traverse Bay Region of Northern Lake Michigan." Paper presented at the Thirteenth Conference on Great Lakes Research, International Association for Great Lakes Research, Buffalo, New York, Apr. 2:, 1970. This study shows, by means of tables and maps,, the degree of pesticide concentrations at various points in the Grand Traverse Bay. Nikolaieff, George A. The Water Crisis. New York: H. W. Wilson Co., 1967. An analysis of water needs now and in the future. The financial problems inherent in water pollution abatement are given detailed treatment. -11 - (Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Northern Great. LAkes Region Multi.-Soil Conservation Districts' Framework Program for the Grand Traverse Bay, Broad Program Area — Michigan No 10. Prepared by Emmet, Charlesvoix, Antrim, Kalkaska, Grand Traverse, Benzie and Leelanau Soil Conservation Districts with the assistance of the U.S. Soil Conservation Service —Cooperative Extension Service, Oct. 28, 1966. Presents a framework program for the Grand Traverse Bay area, Michigan. Overman, Michael. Water: Solutions to a Problem of Supply and Demand. Garden City, N. Y.: Doubleday & Co., Inc., 1969. An overview of methods for maintaining a balanced distribution of water for agricultural, industrial, and personal use. Includes information on dams, desalination, and pollution. Parker, Frank L., and Krenkel, Peter A. Engineering Aspects of Thermal Pollution; Biological Aspects of Thermal Pollution. Nashville, Tenn,: Vanderbilt University Press, 1969. This book docments the disastrous effects which thermal pollution can have on rivers, lakes, estuaries, and coastal waters, with recommendations ifot solutions. Rensselaer County Department of Planning and Promotion. Land Use Analysis. Prepared under the Urban Planning Assistance Program for the New York State Office of Planning Coodination, Dec., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Ngational Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 181. The object of the study was todetermine the existing patterns:lof development as well as the speeif ic primary building use. j Rhode Island Statewide Comprehensive Transportation and Land Us l Planning Program, Providence, Rhode island. State of Rhode Island tuiic RRights-of-Wa to the Shor e zR.I. P-51 Mar.,' 1970. Distrbuted by the U.S. Dept. of Commerde, National Bureau of Standards, StIearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 231. The report summarizes the case law, legislation, and definitions relating to the public rigts-of-way, presents an inventory aand analysis of the rights-of-way for each municipality, and contains the recommendations for further legislative and administrative actions. (Continued) l 2 F...: 0 -. - 0: - -.. - -.;.. 7 - -: f D z::::: i.

I I! ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Herman D. Ruth and Associates, City and Regional Planning Consultants, Berkeley. California. Reional and Local Land Use Planning. Report prepared under a contract with the Public Land Law Review Commission, PLLRC Study Report No. 10, June, 1969 (revised Feb., 1970). Distributed by the U.S. Depto of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 189 410 411, 412, 413. A series to provide data for the Commission's use in forming a basis for recommending future public land policies to Congress and the President of the United States. Volume III includes the content of the planning program methodologies, practices, and criteria governing the land use planning procedures of each major federal land management agency. Emphasizes the objectives, principles, factors, and methods of land classification employed in land use planning. Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission. Office of the County Planner, S naw Coun —Land Use Anal sis. Mich.. P-269. Saginaw, Michigan, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 057. This report' analyzes the composition, characteristics, and problem areas of the 1967 county land use pattern and identifies factors and influences which have shaped and are shaping the existing land use pattern in the county. It examines the consequences of the existing land use pattern upon future development, outlines selected courses of action to change existing land use trends, and delineates areas for future development. ~______. Interim Zoning and Subdivision, See PLANNING. Saunders, Robert J. Forecasting Water Demand, An Inter- and Intra-Community S4tud. West Virginia University Business and Economic Studies, Vol. 11, No. 2. Morgantown, W. Va.: Bureau of Business Research, College of Commerce, W. Virginia University, 1969. This study identifies the factors closely associated with the level of water usage in urban areas. Alternative forecasting methods as well as projection sets of water usage are suggested and constructed. ~____ _. "Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and Projections. uarterl Reviewof Economics and Business, IX (Summer, 1969). Attempts to identify those factors which, on an aggregate basis, are closely associated with the level of water usage in urban areas. Projections are made for the consumption of water supplied by municipal water companies in 141 urban areas for the year 1975. (Continued) -13-

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Seeburger, D. James. "Observations on the Big Rock Nuclear Power Plant: Cooling Water Discharge to Lake Michigan." Lansing, Mich.: Bureau of Water Management, May 21, 1968. David B. Smith Engineers, Inc. Comprhensiv e Water I.epwle rge. Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans,. Fla, P-104. Report to the Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County, West Palm Beach, Florida, Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 553. Presents a summary of the information generated under Part I of the study and an analysis of the inventory results leading to the development of comprehensive water supply, sewerage, solid wastes, and air pollution control plans, Larry Smith and Co., Inc., Real Estate Consultants, Land Utilization and Marketablity S tud, Central Business District Urban Renewal iPro ect, Traverse City, Michigan. See ECOIOICS. Southwestern Pennsylvania Reglional Planning Commission, Pitt sburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternat. i iReaonal Development Patterri. See PLANNING. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts. Framework for a Coherent POl on Urban Land Sept., 1:969. Distributed by U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Sta4dards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 842. Concerns urban land development related to public control. Identifies broad policy objetives of increasing "urban capacity." Inventories federal policies bn urban land, identifies gaps.and proposes policies to fill those gaps. U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Science and Technology. Federal Water Resources getearch Program for Fiscal Year 1970. Prepared by the Federal Col Counil for Science and Technology, Committee on Water Resources Research. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, Dec., 1969. This annual report of the COWRR of the FCST reflects the committee's effort at self-evaluation, _The -Univers it es and Environmental Qua it — Commitment to Problem Focused Education. Report by John S. Steinhart and Stacie Cherniach to the President's Environmental Quality Council. Washington, D.C.: Office of Science and Technology, Sept., 1969. Study of a of of the vigorous multidisciplinary programs at universities. Programs of interest are those directed at discovering environmental alternatives and developing the broadly trained professionals to deal with environmental problems. Includes recommendations for federal action. 14(Coined (Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued U.S. President's Science Advisory Committee. Effective Use of the Sea Report of the Panel on Oceanography. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, June, 1966. The panel's studies are an attempt to state the goals for a national program to serve the marine interests, to assess current and planned ocean-oriented programs, to identify opportunities for new programs in technology and science, and to recommend measures to effect an ocean science and technology program consonant with national needs and interests. Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan." See POPULATION. Vines, William R. Recreation and Open Space. Fla. P-104(g). Report to the Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County, West Palm Beach, Florida, Apr., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 552. Includes an inventory of existing lands and facilities, an examination of administering agencies, summary and problems, and recommended long-range objectives and management actions. -15 -

FORECASTING Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy." Contribution No. 128. Part VI of Economic Evaluation of Water. Berkeley, Calif.: Sanitary Engineering Research Laboratories, College of Engineering and School of Public Health, University of California, June, 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 857. The study reviews the role of input-output analysis in resource planning in general and in water and resource planning in particular. Barzelay, Martin E. Fourth Semi-Annual Re ort —Syracuse/NASA Pro ram For the Period July, 1969-December 31, 1969: Multidisciplinary Studies in Management and Development Programs in the Public Sector. Mar., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, N70-24092. Bass, Frank M. "A New Product Growth Model for Consumer Durabbles.l Mana ent Scence XV (Jan., 1969). This article discusses sa growth model for the timing of initial purchase of new products. Benrud, C. H. S Sstemat ic Procedue for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina. Technical report Su-388-1 prepared for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, Feb., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Inforimation, PB 190 225. Provides a detailed description of computer programs for eight major routines for estimating and projecting county populations. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission. Devfel:opment Standards. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Bramer, Henry C., and Motz, Donald J. (Cyrus Wm. Rice Division, NUS Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania). The Economic Value Water in in Industrial Uses A Continuatin) Report prepared for the Office of Water Resources Research, U.S. Department of the Interior, Dec., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Techqical Information, PB 189 248. This study tries to expand upon the previously developed methodology of determining industrial water utilization costs and provides a wider base upon which statistically reliable data can be generated. -:16-: f ~~(Continued)

FORECASTING- - Cont inued Bright, James R. "Evaluating Signals of Technological Change." Harvard Business Review, Jan.-Feb., 1970. Shows how the process of evolution from a scientific concept to a marketable product or technique is affected not only by technological advances, but also by developments in the political, economic, and social environments. Describes methodology for monitoring these environments for signs of change. Bronder, Leonard D., and Koval, John M. Michigan's Future: Its Population and Its Econom _ See ECONOMICS. Brown, Byron B., Jr. Ex ort-Em loyment Multip ler Analysis of a:Maor Industrial Community. See ECONOMICS. Committee of Institutional Cooperation. Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy. Ansis of Water andWater-Reae Research Reuirements in the Great Lakes Re in. See PLANNING. Dalkey, N.; Brown, B.;and Cochran, S. The Delhi Metho: Use of Self-RatinL3s to Im rove Group Estimates. Memorandum RM-6115-PR prepared for the U.S. Air Force Project RAND. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, AD 698 735. Examines the possibility of using respondent self-ratings as a criterion for selecting more accurate subgroups in applications of the Delphi procedures for eliciting group judgments. Daniel, Mann, Johnson & Mendenhall, Consultants. Economic Forecats for the City of La una Beach, California —General Plan Program. See ECONOMICS. Downs, Anthony. Bureaucrat Strucure and Decision-mak. Memorandum RM-4646-1-PR prepared for the U.S. Air Force Project RAND. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Oct., 1966. This study analyzes the behavior of bureaucratic organizations in a wide variety of situations. Enzer, Selwyn. "A Case Study Using Forecasting as a Decision Making Aid." IFF Working Paper Wp-2. Middletown, Conn.: Institute for the Future, Riverview Center, Dec., 1969. Describes a demonstration in whicl two forecasting techniques were used to aid the planning and decisionmaking process. The primary analytic techniques used were the Delphi Method and the cross-impact matrix technique. -177. (Continued)

FORECASTING- -Continued Floyd, Charles F. Economic Growth in the Upper Great Lakes Region 1950-1967. See ECONOMICS. Fusfeld, Alan R. "The Technological Progress Function: *A New Technique for Forecasting." Working Paper #438-70. Cambridge, Mass.: Alfred P. Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Jan., 1970. Concerns the implications for forecasting when the basis is the plot of technical parameters against accumulative product ion Guide To Economic Projections and Forecasts. Feb., 1967. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 185 941. Presents information to regional commissions and others on currently available national, regional, and subregional economic projections and forecasts as well as an overview of the iajor economic forecasting research of federal agencies and private research organizations. Haber, William, et al., eds. Michigan in the 1970: An Economic Fore- cast. See ECONOMICS. Harris, Curtis C., Jr. "State and County Projections: A Progress Report of the Regional Forecasting Project." Occasional paper series. College Park, Md.: Bureau of Business and Ecoofmic Research, University of Maryland, Jan., 1969. Deseribes |the methodology and some of the results of a model used to estimate state and county projections of employment by industry sectors,l unemployment, labor force, and population. Helmer, Olaf. Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Mar., 1967. Considers the application of the Delphi technique (a method of effectively using informed intuitive judgment) to the anticipation of future events and the impact on those events of manipulation of intervening variables. Prospects of Teccal Prores Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Aug,, 1967. Discusses the role that forecasting of technological development plays in shaping the future of our society. Sees the growing awareness that there is a whole spectrum of possible futures, with varying degrees of probability, and that through proper planning we may exert considerable influence over these probabilities. -18- (Continued)

FORECASTING- -Continued Helmer, Olaf. Social Technolog. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Feb., 1965. Reappraises the methodology of social sciences. Suggests the use of operations analysis approach, i.e., essentially successive approximation to problems in social sciences for which there are no exact, reliable, or well-established theories. Discusses operational model building and systematic use of expert opinions. stematic Use of Exert inions Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Nov., 1967. Advocates the use of the Delphi technique —describes its use and benefits in general terms. Hittman Associates, Inc., Columbia, Maryland. 'The Main II System (HIT-413)," and "The Main II System User's Manual (HIT-413)."t Vols. I and II of Forecasting Munic al Water Requirements. Prepared under contract #14-01-0001-1977 with the Office of Water Resources Research, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Sept., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 275 and PB 190 276. Volume I describes the research which led to the development of the MAIN II System, an improved forecasting tool. Volume II documents the MAIN II System computer program and presents detailed instructions for the use of the system in forecasting municipal water requirements. "Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963." Surve of Current Business, Nov., 1969. Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." See TRANSPORTATION. Leontief, Wassily W. "Input-Ouput Economics." Scientific American, XLIIIV (Oct., 1951). Lofting, E. M., and McGauhey, P H. "An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements." Contribution 116. Part IV of Economic Evaluation of Water. Berkeley, Calif.: Sanitary Engineering Research Laboratories, College of Engineering and School of Public Health, University of California, Aug., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 858. Considers both the methodology and the limitations of the linear programming model as a planning and decisionmaking goal. -19- (Continued)

FORECASTING — Continued Ludlow, John D. "The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting. Working Paper No, 3. Ana-oArbor, Mich.: Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Michigan, Mar. 24, 1970. Maki, Wilbur R. "Small Area Applications of Input-Output." Paper presented at the Input-Ouput Conference, Palmer House, Chicago, Illinois, Apr. 21, 1970. Males, Richard M.; Gates, William E.; and Walker, Junius F. A Dyami c Model of Water Quality Mnagement Decision-Makin Submitted to Office of Water Resources Research, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, by Engineering Sciences, Inc., May, 1970. Report of a study entitled "Systematic Analysis of Management Effectiveness of the Water Quality Control Board System of California." Approach focused on informraal procedures, attitudes, and objectives that are operative.!; Michigan. Aeronautics Commission and Department of Commerce ih cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc. Transortation Predroe dure s: Commercial and Gtieral Av iatip. Technical R'eppr Ni."9A. Lansing, Mich.: State Regource Planning Division, Mich'. ' ept:. of Commerce, 1966.. Department of Commerce. State Resource Planning Prpgram. Transportation Predictive Procedures: S a Reort. Technical Report No. 9. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Diso, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. Summarizes a series ofreports predicting transportation needs in aeronautics, highway, 4nd water travel. -___:Department of State Highways. Office of Planning. Resource Transportation Planning aenit in cooperation with Arthur D;. Little, Inc. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Highwa Trave. Technical Report No. 9B. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Platning Division, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. Details procedures for predicting highway demands in Michigan using a compute triodel that determines the future highway requirements. Morgan, William; Peart, Margaret W.; and Barker, Florence P. Degraphic Study of Woming: Poulat ion in Transition. See POPULATION. National Industrial Conference Board. e ectives for the 70s and 80s: Tommorrow s Problems Confronting Today s Management. See PLANNING. 20C- c~2~

FORECASTING- -Continued Pessemier, Edgar A. I"Models for New-Product Decisions." Institute Paper No. 247. Lafayette, Ind.: Institute for Research in the Behavioral, Economic, and Management Sciences, Herman C. Krannert Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Purdue University, May, 1969. A discussion of new-product ventures and various models used to evaluate a new product and help in decision making. Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demoraphic Characteristics —Sainaw Coun_ Michiarn. See ECONOMICS. Saunders, Robert J. Forecasting Water Demand, An Inter- and IntraCommun'ti Stud. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. ". Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and Projections." See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Suits, Daniel B. Econometric Modelof Michi-an. Technical Report No. 3. Prepared for the State Resource Planning Division, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Lansing, Michigan, Apr., 1960. Describes the influence that the national economy exerts on Michigan and develops a vehicle for measuring the impact on Michigan of expected changes in the national economy. The analysis provides a valuable tool for preparing short-term forecasts of the Michigan economy. Econometric Model of Michian 1965. See ECONOMICS. U.S. Department of Commerce. "Input-Output Transactions: 1961." Staff Working Paper in Economics and Statistics, No. 16. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, July, 1968. U.S. Department of Transportation. Inhput-Outut Analysis and Tranjsortation Planning. See TRANSPORTATION. -. ----.. -21 -

DeTurk, Richard S. Mana ging the Natural Environment. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Walsh, Donald Eugene. A Su.g ted Model for the Management of a Sea Grant Institutional Pro ram Sea Grant Publication No. TAMU-SG70-213. College Station, Tex.: Texas A&M University, June, 1970. Purposes: identify elements on which the nucleus of the Sea Grant Program can be built; suggest techniques for setting objectives and evaluating their attainment; suggest ways of encouraging faculty and student identification with the program. Offers techniques for administrative control. Recommends two administrative structures based on (1) subject matter formulation and (2) functional formulation. -22."

I I PIANNING "Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process: Introduction and Summary." N.C. P-64, RTI Research Memorandum OU-389-1. State planning report prepared by the.Research Triangle Institute for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, Apr., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Coinnerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 226. Discusses the ressearch methodology used to analyze long-range needs and to plan for the more efficient allocation of resources over a ten- to twenty-time horizon. Also summarizes the results of several studies designed to assist the North Carolina State government meet these needs. Armenakes, A. A.; Moore, H. J3; and Peden, G. T., Jr. oInland Port Facilities and Economic Growth. See ECONOMICS. Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California. Bay Shoreline. See ENVIRONMENT AND'NATURAL RESOURCES. Russell D. Bailey and Associates. The Master P1 n Summar, Town of Peestenkill, Rensselaer Count New York. Prepared for the New York State Office of Planning Coodination, Feb., 1970., Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 192. This report is a summary of the material prepared for the town of Peestenkill, New York, under a Comprehensive Planning Assistance Program. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission. Development Standards. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Bulkley, J. W.,, and Garman, Cynthia. "Sea Grant Planning Seminars: Ann Arbor —May 11-13, 1970 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970," Working Paper. Ann Arbor, Mich,: Sea Grant Program, School of Natural Resources, University of Michigan, July, 1970. An abridged record of the issues discussed at the planning seminars at the University of Michigan Sea Grant Program. Committee of Institutional Cooperation. Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy. Analysis ofW Water -Related Research Reuirements in the Great Lakes Rei. Prepared for the Office of Water Research, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, June, 1968. Indicates the need for a systems analysis model of the Great Lakes. Presents a potential water-quality model on a subregional, subsystem basis, Need for a regional economic-growth model, a waterrelated information system, and a gaming-simulation model is described. -23- (Cont inued).

PLANNING- - Continued Economic Base Report. (Ann Arbor, Mich.) See ECONOMICS. Ellis, J. B. utdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan b a Systems Anal sis Ap-roach. Part I: A Manual or "PfroPram RECSYS.r' See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Keiser, Sheron Ann. A Survey of M jAlti-County Cooperation in North Carolina. N.C. P-64. Prepared for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, State Planning Task Force, Sept., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Informat ion, PB 190 230. Outlines the events leading to the creation of a regional approach to the governmental function using the nature of North Carolina regional or multi-county organizations and programs. Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc. Bia_ icgann Ceh eni e Plan. Prepared for the Bangor Planning Commission and the Mich. Dept. of Commerce Community Planning Division, Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 383. A comprehensive plan for a small community —specifically, Bangor, Michigan. Leontief, Wassily. "The Structure of Development." See ECONOMICS. Loebs, Stephen F. The Traverse City Affiliation in Extended Care. Research Report No. 1. Ann Arbor, Mich.: Bureau of Hospital Administration, University of Michigan, 1969. A case study of an affiliation for extended medical care between a county government-owned long-term care facility and a voluntary shortterm hospital in Traverse City, Michigan. Gives facts on hospital costs for the James Decker Munsun Acute Voluntary Hospital in Traverse City. Gives facts on medical care facilities available in Traverse City area. pmson~e~v ~ ~ ~: New York State s. entya.. McDevitt, Matthew, and McGowan, Thomson New York State's Central Social Environment Stud.: N.Y. P-116. Prepared for the New York State Office of Planning Coordination, Albany, New York, Jan., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 475. Describes the need for a monitoring system to provide the state's decision makers with continuous information on social attitudes and problems and to evaluate systematically the state programs which deal with these problems. -24- (Continued)

PLANNING — Continued Michigan. Executive Office of the Governor. Bureau of Planning and Program Development. Office of Planning Coodination. Michi__ an's Planning and Develment Re ions Dlineation Crteria and Comments. Information Bulletin No. 3. Lansing, Michigan, Mar, 1968. A list of state planning and development regions —region 10 is the Sea Grant area. Mississippi State University. College of Business and Industry. Division of Research. A4nlsis of the Economic Feasibilityf Exanding the Greenville Port Facilities, See ECONOMICS. National Industrial Conference Board. Perspectives for the 70's and 80's: Tomorrows Problems Confront Toda New Yor: National Industrial Conference Board-, 1970. Forecast of the likely problems of the 1970s and 1980s by a panel of experts using the Delphi technique. Also presents the result of a public opinion survey to determine the public awareness of such problems. "1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II." See ECONOMICS. Northern Great Lakes Re ion Multi-Soil Conservation Districts' Framework Proram for the Grand Traverse Ba, Broad Proram Area —Michi an No. 10 See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Pasma, Theodore K. Or anized Industrial Districts: A Tool for Communit Develo ment. Prepared for the Area Development Division, Office of Technical Services, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, June, 1954. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1954. This guidebook describes the establishment of planned communities of industry counterparts of modern residential subdivisions. Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission. Office of the County Planner Inter Zoni n Subdivision. Mich. P-269. Saginaw Metropolitan Area Transportation Study, Work Paper —Information, July, 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, No. 190 067. This narrative provides a framework within which a local zoning ordinance or subdivision control ordinance may be constructed or amended. A model zoning ordinance is presented and a state model subdivision control ordinance is recommended. Santa Clara County Planning Department. eton Reort: Pannin Research and Anal sis Proect. California P-148. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearing house for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 184 156. Describes the development and use of an expandable planning data file consisting of land use data and census data for every parcel of land in Santa Clara County. Two land use inventories were conducted, one in 1965 and the other in 1967. -25- (foiued)

PLANNING —Cont inued David B. Smith Engineers, Inc. Corehensive Water SuplySewerage, Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Southwestern Pennsylvania Regional Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternative Reonal Devlo0 ment Patterns. Aug., 1965. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 184 388. Analyzes factors that influence rate and direction of land development. Suggests goals and development principles for future growth. Presents the implications of continuing prsent development trends or goals and the implications of alternative development patterns. Evaluates alternatives in terms of goals. TRW Incorporated. Systems Group. "Greater Cleveland Goals and Programs. Prepared for the Greater Cleveland Growth Association and presented to a group of more than 100 community representatives in CIeveland, Ohio, Sept. 21, 1968. This study was conducted with the primary objective of suggesting community roles for the Growth Association. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts. Framework for Coherent Policy on Urban Land. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administrationl Industrial- Location as a Factor in Re ional Economic DeveIplment. See ECONOMICS. U.S. Department of Transportation. Office of the Secretary of Transportation. I nut-Output Analysis and Transportation Planninjg, See TRANSPORTATION. U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Science and Technology. The Universities and Environment a Quality —Commitment.to Problem Focused Education. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Vines, William R. Recreation and Open Spae See ENVIRONMENTi AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Wilson, A. G. "Research for Regional Planning." Regional Studies, III (Apr., 1969). The paper is concerned with analysis of cities and regions on the one hand, and the process of planning on the other. -26-

POPULATION Battelle Memorial Institute. Socio-Economics Research Section. The Michigan Manpower Study —Phase I. Lansing, Mich.: Michigan Employment Security Commission, Dept. of Labor, May, 1966. Presents the first phase of an analysis of the characteristics of Michigan's labor force in the next 15 years; 32 of the 51 specific occupations to be included in the study are analyzed.. Manpower and Regional Economics Division, The Mici a anower Study —inal Report. Lansing, Mich.: Michigan Employment Security Commission, Dept. of Labor, Nov., 1966. The final report on 51 occupations in Michigan with projections of the labor force for the next 15 years. Benrud, C. Ho Systematic Procedures for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina. See FORECASTING, Browning, Harley L., and Long, Larry H,, eds. PopulationMobility Focuses on Texas. Austin, Tex.: Bureau of Business Research, University of Texas, 1968.. The monograph concerns population mobility and redistribution of population in Texas. Topics include interstate migration, patterns of migration for short periods, migration and mobility for urban areas with socioeconomic characteristics of movers, the process of urbanization, and population decline in 71 Texas counties. Kievat, Irene M. Michigan's Manpower Resources. See ECONOMICS. Liu, Ben-Chieh. "The Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66." See ECONOMICS. Morgan, William E.; Peart, Margaret W.; and Barker, Florence P. Demograhic Stud of W omin: Po ulation in Transition. Prepared for the Wyoming Department of Economic Planning and Development, Division of Business and Economic Research, College of Commerce and Industry, University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming, Dec., 1969. Contains a survey of historical demographic and related economic and social trends; analysis of historical trends;, and population projection by five-year intervals for the state and for each county using several analysis and forecasting methodologies. Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demographic Characteristics —Sa inaw Count, Michigan. See ECONOMICS. Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and KalkaskaCounties, Michigan." Unpublished M.S, dissertation, Department of Resource Development, Michigan State University, 1967. -27 -

RECREATION AND TOURISM Allen, Gerald L. Colorado Ski and Winter Recreation Statistics 1968. Boulder, Colo.: Business Research Division, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Colorado', 1968. Describes the ski industry in Colorado, assesses visits to major Colorado recreation areas, and reflects' on the economic effects of the industry. Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California. Bay Shoreline, See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrey Co An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sort and Commercial Fisheries in the Uer Great Lakes Rego. See ECONOMICS. Ellis, J. B. Outdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan by a Systems Ana lsis Aproach. Part I: A Manual for "Program RECSYS." Technical Report No, 1. Prepared for the Recreation Resource Planning Division, Mich< Dept. of Conservation, Lansing, Michigan, May, 1966. A report on the development and use of a county-tocounty systems model and its application in analyzing demand for various activities. Hass, Raymond M., and Schmidt, J. William. West Virginia Travel and Tourism Study-The Potential Market. West Virginia Economic Development Series No. 3. Morgantown, W. Va.: College of Commerce, Bureau of Business Research, and the College of Engineering, West Virginia University, Nov., 1964. Measures and analyzes the potential of areas outside of West Virginia and the needs and Adesires in the state for tourism. Keeling, William B. The Georgia Travel Industr 1960-1968. Travel Research Study No. 11. Prepared for the Tourist Division, Georgia Department of Industry and Trade, Athens, Georgia, 1969. Athens, Ga.: Division of Research, College of Busines$s Asministration, University of Georgia. A description of the Georgia travel industry and its economic impact on the state. Lam, Frank C. K. A Research Study of Hotel Requirements in Hong Kong Research and Statistics Department, Hong Kong Tourist Association, Nov., 1969. This study presents an analysis of the total accommodations available in Hong Kong. It attempts to assess future requirements in the light of existing forecasts of visitor traffic and other factors affecting hotel occupancy. Also examines other aspects of the hotel situation in Hong Kong —seasonality and pattern of demand. - 28 - (Gout inued )

RECREATION AND TOURISM- Continued Michigan. Department of Conservation. Recreation Resource Planning Division. ichigan's Rereation Future. Prepared with the assistance of the Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Office of Economic Expansion, State Resource Planning Division, Lansing, Michigan, Sept., 1966. A current statement from Michigan's continuing outdoor recreation plan. Milliken, J. Gordon, and Mew, H. E., Jr. Economic and soc3ial mpacft of Recreation at Reclamation Reservoirs. Denver, Colo.: Industrial Economics Division, Denver Research Institute, University of Denver, Mar,, 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 544. A preliminary exploration of the economic and social impacts of recreation opportunities resulting from reservoir construction. North Carolina. Department of Conservation and DevelopmentDivision of Community Planning. Recreation Master Plan Eden North Carolina. N.C. P-54. Sept., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and technical Information, PB 189 809. The study determines the existing recreation facilities available to the people and the city's social, economic, and physical characteristics. Evaluated with respect to both present and future recreation requirements and recommendat ions. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission. Economic Studi es of Outdoor Recreation. ORRC Study Report 24. Prepared by the Commission staff, University of California, Berkeley, California. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1962. The four economic studies of outdoor recreation making up this study represent different applications of economics to several significant problems of outdoor recreation —those that confront legislators, policymakers, and planners in the field of outdoor recreation. Pennington, Allan L,; Ross, Ivan; and Rudelius, William. Minnesota Tourism '68: A Market Aln * School of Business Administration, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis,Minnesota. St. Paul, Minn.: Minnesota State Planning Agency, Jan., 1969. The study concerns the promotion and improvement of Minnesota's recreational product in order to attract more vacationers. -29 -

TECHNOLOGY Ayres, Robert U. Technology and Urban Transportation: Environmental QUality Considerations, See TRANSPORTATION. Besselievre, Edmund B. The Treatment of Industrial Wastes. See ENVIRONMENTAL AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Bright, James R. "Evaluating Signals of Technological Change." See FORECASTING, Carter, Anne P. "The Economics of Technological Change." See ECONOMICS. Dean, Burton V., et al. A Pliminar Reort onthe conomc Impact of Research and Develo ment _ Budget, Decrements. See ECONOMICS. Fusfeld, Alan R. "The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting." See FORECASTING. Kasper, Raphael G., ed. Technology Assessment —The Proceedings of a Seminar Series. Apr., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, N69-40301-305. A cpllection of papers given at the Program Policy Studies in Science and Technology, George Washington University, on the concept of technology assessment. The objectives to understand and appraise the results of technological progress. Ludlow, John D. "The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecaisting." See FORECASTING. Smith, William J. J., amd Creamer, Daniel. R&D and Small-Cmay Growt A Statistical Review and Company Case Studies. Studies: |n::iBusiness Economics No. 102. New York: National Industrial Conife?nce Board, Inc., 1968. The report seeks to shed needed light on the ecolnomic effects of Research and Development on small-company operationS,the conditions for the establishment and expansion of permanent tat l-company research and development programs, the purpose and scope of these programs, and the more important constraints on the utili4iition of research and development output. I.. el U.S. Agency for International Development. Natural Resoure Energy, Water and River Basin Development. Vol. I of gcience Thnology, and Deve opment. Series of U.S. papers prepared for the United Nations Conference on the Application of Science and Technology for the Benefit of the Less Developed Areas. John H. Durston and Norman J. Meiklejohn, eds. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1962. -30 - (Continued)

TECHNOLOGY- — Continued U.S. Congress. House of Representatives. Committee of Science and Astronautics. A Study of Technolog Assessment. Report of the Committee of Public Engineering Policy, National Academy of Engineering, Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, July, 1969. This study includes an analysis of three separate experiments in technology assessment. The experiments were investigations of methodology, feasibility, and the potential value of technology assessment by groups with varying backgrounds.

TRANSPORTATION Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California. Bay Shoreline. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Ayres, Robert U. Technology and Urban Transportation Environmental Qxa!iy. SCm eoridnsaos. Croton-on-Hudson, N.Y.: Hudson Institute, Jan., 1968. Vol.1, "Overview," Covers the determination of the set of all possible transportation systems. Gives consideration toi a wide range of influencing factors —the systems most appropriates to urban transportation and their technical feasibility in the next decade. Considers factors which determine urban transportation requirements and the most appropriate mix between mass and individual transportation. Vol. II, Parts A and B ("Automotive Propulsion Systems," and "Short-Range Mass Transportation") present a state-ofthe-art survey of alternatives to the internal combustion engine for automobiles, buses, and trucks and possible technological solutions to the short-range urban mass transportation problem. Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." Business Papers Series, No. 6. Stillwater, Okla.: College of Business Expansion Service, Oklahoma State University, Nov., 1968. This paper provides an analysis of the industrial impact of the construction of the interstate highway system. Michigan. Aeronautics Commission and Department of Commerce, Transportation Predictive Procedures: Commercial and General Aviation. See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of Commerce. State Resource Planning Program. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Summary Report. See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of State Highways. Office of Planning. Resource Transportation Planning Unit. Transportat ion Predictive Procedures: Highway Travel. See FORECASTING.. Planning Division. Traverse City Area Transportation Study, Draft One. Lansing, Michigan, 1966. A thorough examination of transportation system requirements —current usage and deficiencies and proposals for the future transportation within the Traverse City urban area. U.S. Department of Transportation. Office of the Secretary of Transportation. Input-Output Analys is and Transportation Planning. Jan., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 725. -32 -

INDEX OF Al Allen, Gerald L., 28 Ann Arbor Planning Department and Planning Commiss ion. See Economic Base Report, 3 Armenakes, A.A., 1 Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California, 9 Ayres, Robert U., 32 Russell D. Bailey and Associates, 23 Bangor Planning Commission. See Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24 Bargur, Jona, 16 Barker, Florence P., 27 Barzelay, Martin E,, 16 Bass, Frank M., 6 Battelle Memorial Institute — Columbus (Ohio) Laboratories, 1 — Manpower and Regional Economics Division, 27 — Socio-Economics Research Section, 27 Behrman, Abraham S., 9 Benrud, C. H., 16 Besselievre, Edmund B., 9 Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission, 9 Blasius, Richard, 3 Blome, Donald A., 1 Bramer, Henry C., 16 Briggs, Peter, 9 Bright, James R., 17 Bronder, Leonard D., 2 Brown, B., 17 Brown, Byron B., Jr., 2 Browning, Harley L., 27 Bulkley, J. W., 23 Carter, Anne P., 2 Case Western Reserve University. See Dean, 3 Cherniach, Stacie. See U.S., Executive Office of the President, second entry, 14 rIHORS Chubb, Michael, 2 Cochran, S., 17 Committee of Institutional Cooperation, Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy, 23 Conway Research, Inc. See 1970 Site Selection Handbook, 6 Creamer, Daniel, 30 Cunningham, Floyd F., 10 Dalkey, N., 17 Daniel, Mann, Johnson, & Mendenhall, Consultants, 2 Darnton, Donald C., 3 Dean, Burton V., 3 DeBell, Garret, 10 DeTurk, Richard S., 10 Downs, Anthony, 17 Durston, John H. See U.S., Agency for International Development, 30 Edwards, Dale, 3 Ellis, J. B., 28 Engineering Sciences, Inc. See Males, 20 Enzer, Selwyn, 17 Federal Council for Science and Technology, Committee on Water Resources Research. See U.S., Executive Office of the President, 14 Florida, Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County. See David B. Smith, Engineers, Inc., 14; Vines, 15 Floyd, Charles F., 3 Fogel, M.E., 10 Fusfeld, Alan R., 18 Garman, Cynthia, 23 Gates, William E., 20 Gloyna, Earnest F., 11 Goldman, Marshall I., 11. Greene, Jeffrey C., 2 Griffin, John M. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 1 -33 - m

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Haber, William, 4 Harris, Curtis C., Jr., 18 Hass, Raymond M., 28 Hazard, John L., 4 Helmer, Olaf, 18, 19 Hittman Associates, Inc., Columbia, Maryland, 19 Hoffenberg, Marvin, 5 Hong Kong Tourist Association. See Lam, 28 Hudson Institute. See Ayres, 32 Institute for the Future. See Enzer, 17 Kasper, Raphael G., 30 Keeling, William B., 4, Keiser, Sheron Ann, 24 Kievat, Irene M., 4 Koval, John M., 2 Krenkel, Peter A., 12 28 Lage, Gerald M., 32 Lam, Frank C.K.i, 28 Lamont, Larry, 5 Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24 League of Women Voters of Michigan. See Lake Michigan Basin Study, 11 ] Leontief, Wassily W., 5, 19 Arthur D. Little, Inc. See Michigan, Aeronautics Commission I and Department of Commerce, 20; Michigan, Department of ] State Highways, Office of Planning, Resource Transportation Unit, 20 Liu, Ben-Chieh, 5 Loebs, Stephen F., 24 Lofting, E.M., 19 3 Long, Larry H., 27 Ludlow, John D., 20 Maggied, Hal S. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 1 ' Maki, Wilbur R., 20 Males, Richard M., 20 McDevitt, Matthew, 24 McGauhey, P.H., 19 Mc Gowan, Thomson, 24 Meiburg, Charles 0., 3 Meiklejohn, Norman J. See U.S., Agency for International Development, 30 Mellanby, Kenneth, 11 Mew, H.E., Jr., 29 Michigan, Aeronautics Commisision and Department of Commerce in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc., 20 Michigan, Department of Commerce — Community Planning Division. See Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24i — Northwest Michigan:Development District and Ofglice of Community Planning, 5 — Office of Economic Expansion. See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Suits, 7:, l21; Michigan, DepartnJlt of Conservation, 29 — State Resource Planning Program, 20. See also Edwards, 3; Hazard, 4; Kievat, 4 Michigan, Department of Conservation, Recreation Resource DIanning Division, 29. See also Ellis, 28 Michigan, Department of tabor..See Battelle Memorial Institiute, 27 Michigan, Department of State Highways, Office of Planning, Rpourrce Transportation Plannitnig Unit in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc., 20 Michigan, Executive Office of the Governor, Bureau of Planning and Program Development, Office of Planning Coordination, 25 Michigan, Planning Division, 32 Michigan Employment Security Commission, Department of Labor. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 27 -34 -

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Milliken, J. Gordon 29 Minnesota State Planning Agency. See Pennington, 29 Mississippi State University, College of Business and Industry, Division of Research, 6 Moore, H.G., I Morgan, William E., 27 Motz, Donald J., 16 National Academy of Engineering, Committee of Public Engineering Policy. See U.S., Congress, House of Representatives, Committee of Science and Astronautics, 31 National Air Pollution Control Administration. See Fogel, 10 National Industrial Conference Board, 25. See also Smith, 30 National Park Service. See Keeling, et al., 4 National Research Council, Division of Biology and Agriculture. See Eutrophication, 10 Nedved, Thomas K., 11 New York State Office of Planning Coordination. See Rensselaer County Department of Planning and Promotion, 12; Russell D. Bailey and Associates, 23; McDevitt, 24 Nikolaieff, George A., 11 North Carolina, Department of Conservation and Development Division of Community Planning, 29 North Carolina State Department of Administration. See Benrud, 16; Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process, 23; Keiser, 24 Northwest Michigan Development District and the Office of Community Planning. See Michigan, Department of Commerce, 5 Northwest Michigan Economic Development District Commission, Traverse City, Michigan, 6 Office of Community Planning. See Michigan, Department of Commerce, 5 Office of Economic Expansion.* See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Suits, 7; Michigan, Department of Conservation, 29 Office of Water Resources Research. See Bramer, 16; Hittman Associates, Inc., 19; Males, 20; Committee of Institutional Cooperation, 23 Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission, 29 Overman, Michael, 12 Panel on Oceanography. See U.S., President's Science Advisory Committee, 15 Parker, Frank L., 12 Pasma, Theodore K., 25 Peart, Margaret, W., 27 Peden, G. T., Jr., 1 Pennington, Allan L., 29 Pessemier, Edgar A., 21 The RAND Corporation. See Dalkey,, 17; Downs, 17; Helmer, 18, 19 Real Estate Research Corporation, 6 Rensselaer County Department of Planning and Promotion, 12 Research Triangle Institute. See Fogel, 10; Analytical Capabili-' ties for the North Carolina State Planning Process, 23 Rhode Island Statewide Comprehensive Transportation and Land Use Planning Program, Providence, Rhode Island, 12 -35 -

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Cyrus Urn. Rice Division, NUS Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. See Bramer, 16 Ross, Ivan, 29 Rudelius, William, 29 Herman D. Ruth and Associates, City and Regional Planning Consultants, Berkeley, California, 13 Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission, Office of the County Planner, 13, 25 Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission. See Real Estate Research Corporation, 6 Santa Clara County Planning Department, 25 Saunders, Robert J., 13 Schmidt, J. William, 28 Seeburger, D. James, 14 David B. Smith Engineers, Inc.,14 Larry Smith and Co., Inc., Real Estate Consultants, 6 Smith, William J.J., 30 Southwestern Pennsylvania Regional Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 26 Spivey, W. Allen, 4 State Resource Planning Division. See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Michigan Department of Conservation, 29 State Resource Planning Program. See Edwards, 3; Hazard, 4; Kievat 4 Steinhart, John S. See U.S. Executive Office of the President, second entry, 14 Suits, Daniel B., 7, 21 Sweet, David C. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 1 Tri-State Transportation Commission, New York. See DeTurk, 10 -36 - TRW Incorporated, Systems Group, 26 University of Houston. See Brown, 2 University of Virginia. See Darnton, 3 University of Wyoming, Department of Economic Planning and Development. See Morgan, 27 Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission, 7 Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts, 7, U.S., Agency for Internat ional Development, 30 U.S., Congress, House of Represientatives, Committee on S:cience and Astronautics, 31 U.S., Department of Commrrce, 21 U.S., Department of Commierce — Economic Developmetl Administration, 7 — Office of Technicall Services, Area Development Yivision. See Pasma, 25 U.S., Department of Health, Education and Welfare, National Air Pollution Control Administaition. See Fogel, 10 U.S., Department of the Interior — National Park Servide. See Keeling, et al.,; — Office of Water Resiurces Research. See Br er, 16; Hittman Associates Incc., 19; Males, 20; Coaiittee of Institutional Cooperation, 23 U.S., Executive Office of the President, Office of Science and Technology, 14 U.S., President's Science Advisory Committee, 15 U.S., Department of Transportation, Office of the Secretary of Transportation, 32 14 *^

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Vertrees, Robert C., 27 Vicksburg (Miss.) District Corps of Engineers. See Mississippi State University, 6 Vines, William R, 15 Walker, Junius F,., 20 Walsh, Donald Eugene, 22 Warshaw, Martin R., 4 Wilson, A.G., 26 -37 -

/I ii i i;I~ ii / 1 I;

INDEX OF TITLES Advances in Water Quality Improvement........................ 11 Alternative Regional Development Patterns...,,.......,........ 26 An Analysis of the Economic Feasibility of Expanding the Greenville Port Facilities.................. 6 Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method........... 18 Analysis of Water and Water-Related Research Requirements in the Great Lakes Region.................................. 23 Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process: Introduction and Summary.............. 23 Bangor, Michigan Comprehensive Plan........................... 24 Bay Shoreline................................* 9 Bureaucratic Structure and Decision-making............... 17 A Case Study Using Forecasting as a Decision Making Aid...... 17 Colorado Ski and Winter Recreation Statistics, 1968............. 28 Community and Area Planning and Development in the Northwest Michigan Development District............................ 5 Completion Report: Planning Research and Analysis Project.... 25 Comprehensive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regions........... 10 Comprehensive Water Supply, Sewerage, Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans...,.,................. 14 The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Economy of the Commonwealth..................3......... Controlling Pollution: The Economics of a Cleaner America..... 11 The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting... 20 The Delphi Method, II: Use of Self-Ratings to Improve Group Estimates............................. 17 -39-:.,

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Demographic Study of Wyoming: Population in Transition....... 27 Development Standards........................... 9 A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Progtamming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy........... 16 A Dynamic Model of Water Quality Management Decision-Making.... 20 Econometric Model of Michigan (1960),........................ 21 Econometric Model of Michigan (1965)..... Economic and Social Impact of Recreation at Reclamation I Reservoirs................,...................... 29 Economic Atlas, Upper Great Lakes Basin............... Economic Base Report (Ann Arbor)........................... 3 The Economic Effects of Disarmament............................ 5 Economic Forecasts for the City of Laguna Beach, California — General Plan Program................................. 2 Economic Growth in the Upper Great Lakes Region, 1950-1967... 3 Economic Impact of the Proposed Cumberland Island National Seashore................................... 4 The Economics of Technological Change.................... 2 Economic Studies of Outdoor Recreation....................... 29 The Economic Value of Water in Industrial Uses (A Continuation).............................. 16 Effective Use of the Sea............................... - 15 Engineering Aspects of Thermal Pollution; Biological Aspects of Thermal Pollution............................. 12 The Enviromental Handbook............................... 10 Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demographic Characteristics —Saginaw County, Michigan............ 6 -40 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Eutrophication: Causes, Consequences Correctives........... 10 Evaluating Signals of Technological Change.................... 17 Export-Employment Multiplier Analysis of a Major Industrial Community.................................... 2 Federal Water Resources Research Program for Fiscal Year 1970............ 14 Forecasting Municipal Water Requirements................ 19 Forecasting Water Demand, An Inter- and Intra-Community Study............................................. o... 13 Fourth Semi-Annual Report —Syracuse/NASA Program for the Period July 1, 1969-December 31, 1969: Multidisciplinary Studies in Management and Development Programs in the Public Sector........ 0............. 16 Framework for a Coherent Policy on Urban Land.............. 14 The Georgia Travel Industry: 1960-1968....................... 28 Greater Cleveland Goals and Programs.............. 26 Growth Centers and Their Potentials in the Upper Great Lakes Region......*...*.*........................ 7 Guide To Economic Projections and Forecasts.................. 18 The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis........................3......... 32 Industrial Location as a Factor in Regional Economic Development................................ 7 Industries Suited for the Upper Great Lakes Region........... Inland Port Facilities and Economic Growth.............. 1 Input-Output Analysis and Transportation Planning..... 32 input-Output Economics...................19 An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements................................ 19 Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963............ 19 -41 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Input-Output Transactions: 1961.............................. 21 Interim Zoning and Subdivision............................. 25 Lake Michigan Basin Study: Michigan Section........ 11 Land Use Analysis............................ 12 Land Utilization and Marketability Study, Central Business District Urban Renewal Project, Traverse City, Michigan... 6 The Main II System (HIT-413)................ 19 The Main II System User's Manual (HIT-413).....*.............. 19 Managing the Natural Environment.......................... 10 The Master Plan Summary, Town of Peestenkill, Rensselaer County, New York....................................... 23 Michigan in the 1970's: An Economic Forecast................ 4 The Michigan Manpower Study —Phase I...................... 27 The Michigan Manpower Study —Final Report............. 27 Michigan Port Hinterlands as Determined by Inland Carrier Class Rates................................ 3 Michigan's Chemical Industry..........................5 Michigan's Commerce: Domestic and International....,....... 4 Michigan's Economic Past: Basis for Prosperity............... 2 Michigan's Future: Its Population and Its Economy............ 2 Michigan's Manpower Resources........... 4 Michigan's Planning and Development Regions, Delineation Criteria and Comments...................*................ 25 Michigan's Recreation Future.................................. 29 Minnesota Tourism '68: A Market Analysis..................... 29 -42 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Models for New-Product Decisions,.......,.................... 21 Natural Resources:- Energy, Water and River Basin Development.................................... o........... 30 A New Product Growth Model for Consumer Durables.............. 16 New York State's Central Social Environment Study.............. 24 1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II.......................... 6 Northern Great Lakes Region Multi-Soil Conservation Districts' Framework Program for the Grand Traverse Bay, Broad Program Area-Michigan No, 10....................... 12 Observations on the Big Rock Nuclear Power Plant: Cooling Water Discharge to Lake Michigan....,,,.,.....e..... 14 1001 Questions Answered about Water Resources,.................. 10 Organized Industrial Districts: A Tool for Community Development............... *.........,............. 0 25 Outdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan by a Systems Analys is Approach....................................... 28 An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sport and Commercial Fisheries in the Upper Great Lakes Region...,..... 2 Perspectives for the 70's and 80's: Tomorrow's Problems Confronting Today's Management........................... 25 Pesticides and Pollution.............................* 1 Pesticides in the Grand Traverse Bay Region of Northern Lake Michigan...........*............................. *.. 11 Population Mobility: Focuses on Texas,................. 27 A Preliminary Report on the Economic Impact of Research and Development Budget Decrements..3 *...*................*...... 3 Prologue for Accelrated Growth of Economy.................... 6 The Proposed Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore —An Assessment of the Economic Impact..................... 1 -43 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Prospects of Technological Progress...................... 18 R & D and Small-Company Growth: A Statistical Review and Company Case Studies........................ 30 Recreation and Open Space,............ 15 Recreation Master Plan, Eden, North Carolina.........*.... 29 Regional and Local Land Use Planning....................... 13 The Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66................, Research for Regional Planning............................. 26 A Research Study of Hotel Requirements in Hong Kong......*.. 28 Saginaw County —Land Use Analysis........ 13 Sea Grant Planning Seminars: Ann Arbor —May 11-13, 1970 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970......................... 23 Small Area Applications of Input/Output...............2... 20 Social Technology...................................... 19 Some Relevant Considerations for Metropolitan Fiscal Policy.... 7 State and County Projections: A Progress Report of the Regional Forecasting Project........................ 18 State of Rhode Island Public Rights-of-Way to the Shore........ 12 The Structure of Development...........5....... The Structure of the U.S. Economy..................... 5 A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan.................. 27 A Study of Technology Assessment..3................... 31 A Suggested Model for the Management of a Sea Grant Institutional Program...................... 22 -44 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued A Survey of Multi-County Cooperation in North Carolina.....,... 24 Systematic Procedures for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina*............. *.. *....................... 16 Systematic Use of Expert Opinions.....,...,..G.P.............. 19 The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting............................. 0 0....... 18 Technology and Urban Transportation: Environmental Quality Considerations..............,.............*.. 32 Technology Assessment —The Proceedings of Seminar Series...... 30 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Commercial and General' Aviation,..,,.........,..., *....*..e....,,.....*. 20 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Highway Travel*........ 20 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Summary Report........ 20 The Traverse City Affiliation in Extended Care.......... 24 Traverse City Area Transportation. Study, Draft One............. 32 The Treatment of Industrial Wastes.................. e 9 The Universities and Environmental Quality —Commitment to Problem FocuSed Education............... 14 Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and Projections........ 13 Water: Solutions to a Problem of Supply and Demand............ 12 Water, The Vital Essence................................ 9 The Water Cr isis.......................................... Water is Everybody's Business; The Chemistry of Water Purification..* *.........,...................,, 9 West Virginia Travel and Tourism Study —The Potential Market... 28 Working Papers and Regional Project Proposals for Early Action Program, #3: Public Facilities and Services for Economic Development, Developmental Airports............... 7 -45 -

i

WORKING PAPERS 1. Sidney C. Sufrin, "Reflections on Evolving Competitive Aspects in Major Industries," Oct. 1969, 74 pages. 2, M. Lynn Spruill, "A Scoring System to Aid in Evaluating a Large Number of Proposed Public Works Projects by a Federal Agency," Oct. 1969, 17 pages. 3. John D. Ludlow, "The Delphi Method: A. Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological andEnvironmental Forecasting," Mar. 1970, 52 pages. 4., Qlaude R. Martin, "What Consumers of Fashion Want to Know, 1 June 1970, 20 pager, 5., Sidney C. Sufrin, H. Paul Root, Roger L. Wright, and Fred R. Kaen, "Performance Issues of the Automobile Industry," Sept. 1970, 186 pages, 6. James R. Taylor, "Management Experience with Applications,of Multidimensional Scaling Methods, '" Sept. 1970, 27 pages. 7. Daryl Winn, "Profitability and Industry Concentration, Sept. 1970, 102 pages. 8. * Joseph W. Newman and Richard Staelin, "Why Differences- in Buying Time? A Multivariate Approach," Oct. 1970, 20 pages. 9. Claude R. Martin, "The Contribution of the Professional Buyer to the Success or Failure of a Store," Oct. 1970, 20 pages. * Copies are no longer available.

10. James R. Taylor, "An Empirical Comparison of Similarity and Preference Judgments in a Unidimensional Context," Oct. 1970, 44 pages. 11'. H* H.. Helmers, "A Marketing Rationale for the Distribution of Automobiles," Nov. 1970, 115 pages. 12. Merwin H. Waterman, "Global Capital Markets,* Nov. 1970, 35 pages. 13. Claude R. Martin, "The Theory of Double Jeopardy and Its Contribution to Understanding Consumer Behavior," Nov. 1970, 27 pages. 14. Patricia Braden and H. Paul Root, "A Study of the Sources and Uses of Information in the Development of Minority Enterprise —A Proposal for Research on Entrepreneurship," Dec. 1970, 28 pages. 15. Andrew M. McCosh, "Program Auditing, Dec. 1970, 21 pages. 16. Kenneth O. Cogger, "Time Series Forecasting Procedures for an Economic Simulation Model," Dec. 1970, 36 pages. 17. James T. Godfrey and W. Allen Spivey, "MAodels.for Cash Flow Estimation in Capital Budgeting," Dec. 1970, 33 pages. 18. W. Allen Spivey, "Optimization in Complex Management Systems, Dec. 1970, 27 pages. 19. Claude R. Martin, 'Support for Women's Lib: Management Performance," Jan. 1971, 19 pages. 20. Donald G. Simonson, "Innovations in the Economics of Project Investment," Jan. 1971, 57 pages. 21. Donn C. Achtenberg and William J. Wrobleski, "Corporate Financial Modeling: Systems Analysis in Action, " Jan. 1971, 26 pages. *s C opie are no longer available.

22. John D. Ludlow, "Sea Grant Delphi Exercises: Techniques for Utilizing Informed Judgments of a Multidisciplinary Team of Researchers," Jan, 1971, 84 pages, 23. Ross Wilhelm, "The Spanish in Nova Scotia in the XVI Century — A Hint in the Oak Island Treasure Mystery," Feb. 1971 -40 page s. 24.* Charles N. Davisson and Herbert F. Taggart, ' Financial and Operating Characteristics of Automobile Dealers and the Franchise System," Feb. 1971, 243 pages. 25, H. Paul Root, "Market Power, Product Planning, and Motivation, Feb. 1971, 22 pages. 26. H. Paul Root and Horst Sylvester, "Competition and Consumer.Alternatives,"' Feb. 1971, 21 pages. Alternatives, 27. Dick A. Leabo, "Stepwise Regression Analysis Applied to Regional Economic Research," Feb. 1971, 20 pages. 28. M. J. Karson and W. J. Wrobleski, "Some New Statistical Methods for Analyzing Incomplete Brand Preference Data," Mar. 1971, 25 pages. 29. Thomas C. Kinnear and James R. Taylor, 'Multivariate Methods in Marketing Research: A Further Attempt at Classification," Mar, 1971, 11 pages, 30, W. Allen Spivey, "A Deductive Approach to Linear Optimization," Mar. 1971, 74 pages. 31. Neal Campbell and Cyrus K. Motlagh, "'A Stochastic Model of the National Political System in the United States, Mar. 1971, 39 pages. 32, H. Paul Root, "Implementation of Risk Analysis Models for the Management of Product Innovation," Mar. 1971, 62 pages. Copies are no longer available,

33. William K. Hall, "The Utilization of Linear Optimization Models in Adaptive Planning and Control, " Mar. 1971, 21 pages. 34. William K. Hall, "The Determination of Optimal Customer Selection and Allocation Policies for Finite Queues. in Parallel," Mar. 1971, 22 pages. 35. John D. Ludlow and Patricia L. B3raden, "Socioeconomic Development in the Grand Traverse Bay Area, Apr. 1971, 59 pages. 36. Cyrus K. Motlagh, "Evaluation of Input-Output Analysis as a Tool for the Study of Economic Structure of the Grand Traverse Bay Area, " Apr. 1971, 30 pages. 37. Raymond E. Hill and Edgar A. Pessemier, "Multidimensional and Unidimensional Metric Scaling of Preference for Job Descriptions, "Apr. 1971, 60 pages. 38. H. Paul Root and J. E. Klompmaker, "A Microanalytic Sales Forecasting Model for New Industrial Products', Apr. 1971, 41 pages. 39. Dr. Ing. Bruno Hake, "Concentration and Competition in the European Automobile Industry, n May 1971, 28 pages. 40. Horst Sylvester, "New and Used Cars as Consumer Alternatives, May 1971, 31 pages. 41. Patricia L. Braden, "Socioeconomic Data Book, An Index of Data... on Michigansa aL -raverse Bay.. Area, Xunel,^1S71l, 99 pages. Ilanrrmc ~I-rru ---l-.....,I.,___I_, Copies are no longer available.

33. William K. Hall, "The Utilization of Linear Optimization Models in Adaptive Planning and Control," Mar. 1971, 21 pages. 34. William K. Hall, "The Determination of Optimal Customer Selection and Allocation Policies for Finite Queues in Parallel," Mar. 1971, 22 pages. 35. John D. Ludlow and Patricia L. Braden, "Socioeconomic Development in the Grand Traverse Bay Area," Apr. 1971, 59 pages. 36. Cyrus K. Motlagh, "Evaluation of Input-Output Analysis as a Tool for the Study of Economic Structure of the Grand Traverse Bay Area, ' Apr. 1971, 30 pages. 37. Raymond E. Hill and Edgar A. Pessemier, "Multidimensional and Unidimensional Metric Scaling of Preference for Job Descriptions, "Apr. 1971, 60 pages. 38. H. Paul Root and J. E. Klompmaker, "A Microanalytic Sales Forecasting Model for New Industrial Products, Apr. 1971, 41 pages. 39. Dr. Ing. Bruno Hake, "Concentration and Competition in the European Automobile Industry, " May 1971, 28 pages. 40. Horst Sylvester, "New and Used Cars as Consumer Alternatives," May 1971, 31 pages. 41. Patricia L. Braden, "Socioeconomic Data Book, An Index c 6f Data. on -Michiga's ritr-and T' Iravee r-se Bay Area, - "'.ne:;i!7I1l, 99 pages. Copies are no longer available. 0

22, John D, Ludlow, "Sea Grant Delphi Exercises: Techniques for Utilizing Informed Judgments of a Multidisciplinary Team of Researchers," Jan. 1971, 84' pages., 23. Ross Wilhelm, "The Spanish in Nova Scotia in the XVI Century — A Hint in the Oak Island Treasure Mystery," Feb. 1971, 40 pages. 24. * Charles N. Davisson and Herbert F. Taggart, "Financial and Operating Characteristics of Automobile Dealers and:the Franchise System," Feb. 1971, 243 pages. 25. H. Paul Root, "Market Power, Product Planning, and Moatvation," Feb. 1971, 22 pages. 26. H. Paul Root and Horst Sylvester, "Competition and Consumer Alternatives," Feb. 1971, 21 pages.. 27. Dick A. Leabo, "Stepwise Regression Analysis Applied to Regional Economic Research," Feb. 1971, 20 pages. 28. M. J. Karson andW. J. Wrobleski, "Some New:Statistical Methods for Analyzing Incomplete Brandl Preference Data," Mar. 1971, 25 pages. 29. Thomas C. Kinnear and James R. Taylor, "Multivariate Methods in Marketing ResearchS. A Further Attemnpt at Clasmsification," Mar. 1971, 11 pages,,, 30, W.. Allen Spivey, " A Deductive Approach to Linear Optimization," Mar, 1971, 74 pages. 31. Neal Campbell and Cyrus K. Motlagh, " A Stochastic Model of the National Political System in the United States, Mar. 1971, 39 pages. 32. H. Paul Root, "Implementation of Risk Analysis Models for the Management of Product Innovation," Mar, 1971, 62 pages.: *~ C opie s are no longer available. I I

10. James R. Taylor, "An Empirical Comparison of Similarity and Preference Judgments in a Unidimensional Context," Oct. 1970, 44 pages. 11. * H. 0 Helmers, "A Marketing Rationale for the Distribution of Automobiles," Nov. 1970, 115 pages. 12. Merwin H. Waterman, "Global Capital Markets," Nov. 1970, 35 pages, 13. Claude R. Martin, "The Theory of Double Jeopardy and Its Contribution to Understanding Consumer Behavior, " Nov. 1970, 27 pages. 14. Patricia Braden and H. Paul Root, "A Study of the Sources and Uses of Information in the Development of Minority Enterprise —A Proposal for Research on Entrepreneurship, Dec. 1970, 28 pages. 15. Andrew M. McCosh, "Program Auditing," Dec. 1970, 21 pages. 16. Kenneth 0. Cogger, "Time Series Forecasting Procedures for an Economic Simulation Model " Dec. 1970, 36 pages. 17. James T. Godfrey and W. Allen Spivey, "Models for Cash Flow Estimation in Capital Budgeting," Dec. 1970, 33 pages. 18. W. Alien Spivey, "Optimization in Complex Management Systems, Dec. 1970, 27 pages. 19. Claude R. Martin, "Support for Women's Lib: Management Performance," Jan. 1971, 19 pages. 20. Donald G. Simonson, "Innovations in the Economics of Project Investment," Jan. 1971, 57 pages. 21. Donn C. Achtenberg and William J. Wrobleski, "Corporate Financial Modeling: Systems Analysis in Action," Jan. 1971, 26 pages. * Copies are no longer available.

WORKING PAPERS 1. Sidney C. Sufrin, "Reflections on Evolving Competitive Aspects in Major Industries," Oct. 1969, 74 pages, -2. MiM. Lynn Spruill, "A Scoring System to Aid in Evluatting a Large Number of Proposed Public Workns Projects by a Federal: Agency," Oct. 1969, 17 pages. 3. John D. Ludlow, ":'The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting," Mar. 1970, 52 pages. 4. Qlaude R. Martin, "What Consumers of Fashion Want to Know," June 1970, 20 page,. 65.* Sidney C. Sufrin,,, H. Paul Root, Roger L. Wright, and Fred R. Kaen, "Performance Issues of the Automobile Industry," Sept. 1970, 186 pages. 6. James R. Taylor, "Management Experience with Applications of Multidimensional Scaling Methods,'" Sept. 1970, 27 pager s. 7. Daryl Winn, "Profitability and Industry Concentration," Sept. 1970, 102 pages, 8, '.* Joseph W. Newman and Richard Staelin,."Why Differences in Buying Time? A Multivariate Approach," Oct. 1970, 20 pages. 9. Claude RP. Martin, "rThe Contribution of the Professional Buyer to the Success or Failure of a Store," Oct. 1970, 20 pages. * Copies are. no longer available.

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued A Survey of Multi-County Cooperation in North Carolina.......0. 24 Systematic Procedures for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina.........,................... 16 Systematic Use of Expert Opinions..........*...............,* 19 The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting........................................ 18 Technology and Urban Transportation: Environmental Quality Considerations....,................................. 32 Technology Assessment —The Proceedings of Seminar Series....... 30 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Commercial and General' Aviation....... 1........ *....... 0 0...0 20 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Highway Travel...,.. l,.. 20 Transportation Predictive Procedures: Summary Report....... 0 20 The Traverse City Affiliation in Extended Care..,.......... 24 Traverse City Area Transportation Study, Draft One......... 32 The Treatment of Industrial Wastes..................... The Universities and Environmental Quality —Commitment to Problem Focused Education*....................... 14 Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and Projections....... 13 Water: Solutions to a Problem of Supply and Demand..*.*.,....., 12 Water, The Vital Essence............... 9. The Water Crisis.................................... 11 Water is Everybody's Business; The Chemistry of Water Purification.............................. 9 West Virginia Travel and Tourism Study —The Potential Market.,. 28 Working Papers and Regional Project Proposals for Early Action Program, #3: Public Facilities and Services for Economic Development, Developmental Airports............... 7 -45 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Prospects of Technological Progress........................ 18 R & D and Small-Company Growth: A Statistical Review and Company Case Studies........................ 30 Recreation and Open Space........................ *.. 15 Recreation Master Plan, Eden, North Carolina................ 29 Regional and Local Land Use Planning...............*....... 13 The Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66.................................. 5 Research for Regional Planing.......................... 26 A Research Study of Hotel Requirements in Hong Kong.......... 28 Saginaw County —Land Use Analysis................ 13 Sea Grant Planning Seminars: Ann Arbor —May 11-13, 1970 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970................. 23 Small Area Applications of Input/Output....... 20 Social Technology........................... 19 Some Relevant Considerations for Metropolitan Fiscal Policy.... 7 State and County Projections: A Progress Report of the Regional Forecasting Project............................. 18 State of Rhode Island Public Rights-of-Way to the Shore....... 12 The Structure of Development............................... - 5 The Structure of the U.S. Economy...................... 5 A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan.......... 27 A Study of Technology Assessment............................. 31 A Suggested Model for the Management of a Sea Grant Institutional Program.............................. 22 -44 -

INDEX OF TITLES-Continued Models for New-Product Decisions,,......,................. 21 Natural Resources: Energy, Water and River Basin Development t..,....4.....~.......... I....................... 30 A New Product Growth Model for Consumer Durables........*....... 16 New York State's Central Social Environment Study........ 24 1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II............ 6 Northern Great Lakes Region Multi-Soil Conservation Districts' Framework Program for the Grand Traverse Bay, Broad Program Area —Michigan No. 10...........,........ 12 Observations on the Big Rock Nuclear Power Plant: Cooling Water Discharge to Lake Michigan..................... 14 1001 Questions Answered about Water Resources.........,...... 10 Organized Industrial Districts: A Tool for Community Development................... 0. 25 Outdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan by a Systems Analysis Approach..........*........... ~........... 28 An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sport and Commercial Fisheries in the Upper Great Lakes Region..............*.2 Perspectives for the 70's and 80's: Tomorrow's Problems Confronting Today's Management...................... 25 Pesticides and Pollution..............I.......*.....* a. I1 Pesticides in the Grand Traverse Bay Region of Northern Lake Michigan.........................at...... -... 11 Population Mobility: Focuses on Texas........................ 27 A Preliminary Report on the Economic Impact of Research and Development Budget Decrements............................. 3 Prologue for Accelrated Growth of Economy......................,, The Proposed Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore —An Assessment of the Economic Impact......*.............. 1 -43 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Input-Output Transactions: 1961.............................. 21 Interim Zoning and Subdivision.....................,.... 25 Lake Michigan Basin Study: Michigan Section.*............ 11 Land Use Analysis................. 12 Land Utilization and Marketability Study, Central Business District Urban Renewal Project, Traverse City, Michigan... 6 The Main II System (HIT-413).......................... 19 The Main II System User's Manual (HIT-413)................... 19 Managing the Natural Environment.................. 10 The Master Plan Sumlary, Town of Peestenkill, Rensselaer County, New York................................. 23 Michigan in the 1970's: An Economic Forecast................. 4 The Michigan Manpower Study —Phase I....................... 27 The Michigan Manpower Study —Final Report........*.......... 27 Michigan Port Hinterlands as Determined by Inland Carrier Class Rates............................................ 3 Michigan's Chemical Industry......................... 5 Michigan's Commerce: Domestic and International............. 4 Michigan's Economic Past: Basis for Prosperity.............. 2 Michigan's Future: Its Population and Its Economy............ 2 Michigan's Manpower Resources........4.................... 4 Michigan's Planning and Development Regions, Delineation Criteria and Comments..............................2... e. 25 Michigan's Recreation Future............................ 29 Minnesota Tourism '68: A Market Analysis................... 29 -42 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Eutrophication: Causes, Consequences Correctives.......... 10 Evaluating Signals of Technological Change.............. 17 Export-Employment Multiplier Analysis of a Major Industrial Community. *.. 0 a.4...... *. 2 Federal Water Resources Research Program for Fiscal Year 1970........................................ i 14 Forecasting Municipal Water Requirements.................... 19 Forecasting Water Demand, An Inter- and Intra-Community Study.. * 0............... * *........... 0.. *. 13 Fourth Semi-Annual Report —Syracuse/NASA Program for the Period July 1, 1969-December 31, 1969: Multidisciplinary Studies in Management and Development Programs in the Public Sector...... *.......*..... e...... e.. 16 Framework for a Coherent Policy on Urban Land...............* 14 The Georgia Travel Industry: 1960-1968.....................,.. 28 Greater Cleveland Goals and Programs.o................. 26 Growth Centers and Their Potentials in the Upper Great Lakes Region.............................................. 7 Guide To Economic Projections and Forecasts...,.* 18 The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis..........2.... 32 Industrial Location as a Factor in Regional Economic Development........*............................... *.: '. 7 Industries Suited for the Upper Great Lakes Region.......... Inland Port Facilities and Economic Growth............... 1 Input-Output Analysis and Transportation Planning*............ 32 Input-Output Economics.................................... * 19 An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements...................... r........ 19 Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963....... *.. 19 -41 -

INDEX OF TITLES —Continued Demographic Study of Wyoming: Population in Transition...... 27 Development Standards................9............. 9 A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy............ 16 A Dynamic Model of Water Quality Management Decision-Making.... 20 Econometric Model of Michigan (1960)..................... 21 Econometric Model of Michigan (1965)...................7...... 7 Economic and Social Impact of Recreation at Reclamation Reservoirs................................. 29 Economic Atlas, Upper Great Lakes Basin................ 7 Economic Base Report (Ann Arbor).............................. 3 The Economic Effects of Disarmament................. 5 Economic Forecasts for the City of Laguna Beach, California — General Plan Program....................... 2 Economic Growth in the Upper Great Lakes Region, 1950-1967.... 3 Economic Impact of the Proposed Cumberland Island National Seashore.....................4....... The Economics of Technological Change.................... 2 Economic Studies of Outdoor Recreation............... 29 The Economic Value of Water in Industrial Uses (A Continuation).................. 16 Effective Use of the Sea............................ 15 Engineering Aspects of Thermal Pollution; Biological Aspects of Thermal Pollution........................ 12 The Environmental Handbook............................. 10 Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demographic Characteristics —Saginaw County, Michigan.................. -40 -

INDEX OF TITLES Advances in Water Quality Improvement..................... 11 Alternative Regional Development Patterns................... 26 An Analysis of the Economic Feasibility of Expanding the Greenville Port Facilities................... 6 Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method.................. 18 Analysis of Water and Water-Related Research Requirements in the Great Lakes Region.................................... 23 Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process: Introdctin and Summary......... 23 Bangor, Michigan Comprehensive Plan...................... 24 Bay Shoreline,................................,...... 9 Bureaucratic Structure and Decision-making.... 17 A Case Study Using Forecasting as a Decision Making Aid........ 17 Colorado Ski and Winter Recreation Statistics, 1968............. 28 Community and Area Planning and Development in the Northwest Michigan Development District........,................ a..... 5 Completion Report: Planning Research and Analysis Project....e. 25 Comprehensive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regions........... 10 Comprehensive Water Supply, Sewerage, Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans............................ 14 The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Economy of the Commonwealth.,......*....~............*..... 3 Controlling Pollution: The Economics of a Cleaner America..... 11 The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting... 20 The Delphi Method, II: Use of Self-Ratings to Improve~~~~~~~~~~ The Delphi Method, II: Use of Self-Ratings to Improve Group Estimates............................***.*** 17 -39 -

'r r I$

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Vertrees, Robert C., 27 Vicksburg (Miss.) District Corps of Engineers. 'See Mississippi State University, 6 Vines, William R., 15 Walker, Juni.us F.-, 20 Walsh, Donald Eugene, 22 Warshaw, Martin R., 4 Wilson, A.G., 26 -37 -

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Cyrus Urn. Rice Division, NUS Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. See Bramer, 16 Ross, Ivan, 29 Rudelius, William, 29 Herman D. Ruth and Associates, City and Regional Planning Consultants, Berkeley, California, 13 Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission, Office of the County Planner, 13, 25 Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission. See Real Estate Research Corporation, 6 Santa Clara County Planning Department, 25 Saunders, Robert J., 13 Schmidt, J. William, 28 Seeburger, D. James, 14 David B. Smith Engineers, Inc.14 Larry Smith and Co., Inc., Real Estate Consultants, 6 Smith, William J.J., 30 Southwestern Pennsylvania Regional Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 26 Spivey, W. Allen, 4 State Resource Planning Division. See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Michigan Department of Conservation, 29 State Resource Planning Program. See Edwards, 3; Hazard, 4; Kievat 4 Steinhart, John S. See U.S. Executive Office of the President, second entry, 14 Suits, Daniel B., 7, 21 Sweet, David C. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 1 Tri-State Transportation Commission, New York. See DeTurk, 10 -36 - TRW Incorporated, Systems Group, 26 University of Houston. See Brown, 2 University of Virginia. See Darnton, 3 University of Wyoming, Department of Economic Planning and Development. See Morgan, 27 Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission, 7 Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts, 7, 14 U.S., Agency for International Development, 30 U.S., Congress, House of Representatives, Committee on Science and Astronautics, 31 U.S., Department of Commerce, 21 U.S., Department of Commerce — Economic Development Administration, 7 — Office of Technical Services, Area Development Division. See Pasma, 25 U.S., Department of Health, Education and Welfare, National Air Pollution Control Administration. See Fogel, 10 U.S., Department of the Interior — National Park Service. See Keeling, et al., 4 — Office of Water Resources Research. See Bramer, 16; Hittman Associates, Inc., 19; Males, 20; Committee of Institutional Cooperation, 23 U.S., Executive Office of the President, Office of Science and Technology, 14 U.S., President's Science Advisory Committee, 15 U.S., Department of Transportation, Office of the Secretary of Ttansportation, 32

INDEXE~ - neIf - 6 %v OF AUTHORi L" Milliken, J. Gordon, 29 Minnesota State Planning Agency. See Pennington, 29 Mississippi State University, College of Business and Industry, Division of Research, 6 Moore, H.G., 1 Morgan, William E., 27 Motz, Donald J., 16 National Academy of Engineering,, Committee of Public Engineering Policy. See U.S., Congress, House of Representatives, Committceeof Science and Astronautics, 31 National Air Pollution Control Administration. See Fogel, 10 National Industrial Conference Board, 25. See also Smith, 30 National Park Service. See Keeling, et al.', 4 National Research Council, Division of Biology and Agriculture. See Eutrophication, 10 Nedved, Thomas K., 11 New York State Office of Planning Coordination. See Rensselaer County Department of Planning and Promotion, 12; Russell D. Bailey and Associates, 23; McDevitt, 24 Nikolaieff, George A., 11 North Carolina, Department of Conservation and Development Division of Coamunity Planning, 29 North Carolina State Department of Administration. See Benrud, 16; Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process, 23; Keiser, 24? " *" L. U 3n121; L Z~tr. - w Northwest Michigan Development District and the Office of Community Planning. See Michigan, Department of Commerce, 5 Northwest Michigan Economic Development District Commission, Traverse City, Michigan, 6 Office of Community Planning. See Michigan, Department of Commerce, 5 Office of Economic Expansion. See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Suits, 7; Michigan, I:Department of Conservation', 29 Office of Water Resources Research. See Bramer, 16; Hitt1tan Associates, Inc., 19; Males, 20; ommittee of Institutional Cooperation, 23 Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission, 29 Overman, Michael, 12 Panel on Oceanography. See U.S., President's Science Advisory Committee, 15 Parker, Frank L., 12 Pasma, Theodore K., 25 Peart, Margaret, W., 27 Peden, G. T., Jr., 1 Pennington, Allan L., 29 Pessemier, Edgar A., 21 The RAND Corporation. See Dalkey, 17; Downs 17; Helmer, 18, 19 Real Estate Research Corporation, 6 Rensselaer County Department of Planning and PromotiOn, 12 Research Triangle Institute, See Fogel, 10; Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process, 23 Rhode Island Statewide Comprehensive Transportation and Land Use Planning Program, Providence, Rhode Island, 12,.- * * _ *: i I

INDEX OF AUTHORS —Continued Haber, William, 4 Harris, Curtis C., Jr., 18 Hass, Raymond M., 28 Hazard, John L., 4 Helmer, Olaf, 18, 19 Hittman Associates, Inc., Columbia, Maryland, 19 Hoffenberg, Marvin, 5 Hong Kong Tourist Association. See Lam, 28 Hudson Institute. See Ayres, 32 Institute for the Future. See Enzer, 17 Kasper, Raphael G., 30 Keeling, William B., 4, 28 Keiser, Sheron Ann, 24 Kievat, Irene M., 4 Koval, John M., 2 Krenkel, Peter A., 12 Lage, Gerald M., 32 Lam, Frank C.K,K, 28 Lamont, Larry,, 5 Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24 League of Women Voters of Michigan. See Lake Michigan Basin Study, 11 Leontief, Wassily W., 5, 19 Arthur D. Little, Inc. See Michigan, Aeronautics Commission ] and Department of Commerce, 20; Michigan, Department of 1 State Highways, Office of Planning, Resource Transportation Unit, 20 Liu, Ben-Chieh, 5 Loebs, Stephen F., 24 Lofting, E.M., 19 1 Long, LarryH., 27 Ludlow, John D., 20 Maggied, Hal S. See Battelle 1 Memorial Institute, I' Maki, Wilbur R., 20 4ales, Richard M., 20 McDevitt, Matthew, 24 4cGauhey, P.H., 19 4c Gowan, Thomson, 24 4eiburg, Charles 0., 3 Heiklejohn, Norman J. See U.S., Agency for International Development, 30 4ellanby, Kenneth, 11 Kew, H.E., Jr., 29 Michigan, Aeronautics Commission and Department of Commerce in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc., 20 Michigan, Department of Commerce — Community Planning Division. See Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24 — Northwest Michigan Development District and Office of Community Planning, 5 — Office of Economic Expansion. See Bronder, 2; Bronder and Koval, 2; Suits, 7, 21; Michigan, Department of Conservation, 29 — State Resource Planning Program, 20. See also Edwards, 3; Hazard, 4; Kievat, 4 Michigan, Department of Conservation, Recreation Resource Planning Division, 29. See also Ellis, 28 Michigan, Department of Labor. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 27 Michigan, Department of State Highways, Office of Planning, Resource Transportation Planning Unit in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc., 20 Michigan, Executive Office of the Governor, Bureau of Planning and Program Development, Office of Planning Coordination, 25 Michigan, Planning Division, 32 Michigan Employment Security Commission, Department of Labor. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 27 -34 -

INDEX OF Allen, Gerald L, 28 Ann Arbor Planning Department and Planning Commission. See Economic Base Report, 3 Armenakes, A.A., I Association of Bay Area Governiments, Berkeley, California, 9 Ayres, Robert U., 32 Russell D. Bailey and Associates, 23 Bangor Planning Commission. See Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc., 24 Bargur, Jona, 16 Barker, Florence P, 27 Barzelay, Martin E., 16 Bass, Frank M., 6 Battelle Memorial Institute — Columbus (Ohio) Laboratories, — Manpower and Regional EConomics Division, 27 — Socio-Economics Research Section, 27 Behrman, Abraham S., 9 Benrud, C. H., 16 Besselievre, Edmund B., 9 Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission, 9 Blasius, Richard, 3 Blome, Donald A., 1 Bramer, Henry C., 16 Briggs, Peter, 9 Bright, James R., 17 Bronder, Leonard D., 2 Brown, B., 17 Brown, Byron B., Jr., 2 Browning, Harley L., 27 Bulkley, J. We., 23 Carter, Anne P., 2 Case Western Reserve University. See Dean, 3 Cherniach, Stacie. See U.S., Executive Office of the President, second entry, 14 4 kUTHORS Chubb, Michael, 2 Cochran, S., 17 Committee of Institutional Cooperation, Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy, 23 Conway Research, Inc. S~ee 1970 Site Selection Handbook, 6 Creamer, Daniel, 30 Cunningham, Floyd F., 10 Dalkey, N., 17 Daniel, Mann, Johnson, & Mendenhall, Consultants, 2 Darnton, Donald C., 3 Dean, Burton V., 3 DeBell, Garret, 10 DeTurk, Richard S., 10 Downs, Anthony, 17 Durston, John H. See U.S., Agency for International Development, 30 Edwards, Dale, 3 Ellis, J. B., 28; Engineering Sciences, Inc. See Males, 20 Enzer, Selwyn, 17 Federal Council f or Science and Technology, Committee on Water Resources Research. See U.S., eExecutive Office of the President, 14 Florida, Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County. See Daid B. Smith, Engineers, Inc., 14; Vines, 15 Floyd, Charles F., 3; 1 Fogel, M.E., 10 Fusfeld, Alan R., 18 Garman, Cynthia, 23 Gates, William E., 20 Gloyna,:Earnest F., 11 Goldman, Marshall I., 11 Greene, Jeffrey C., 2 Griffin, John M. See Battelle Memorial Institute, 1 -33 -

I I TRANSPORTATION Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California. Bay Shoreline. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Ayres, Robert U. Technology and Urban Transportation: Environmental Qality Considerations. Croton-on-Hudson, N.Y.-: Hudson Institute, Jan., 1968. Vol.1, "Overview." Covers the determination of the set of all possible transportation systems. Gives consideration to a wide range of influencing factors —the systems most appropriate to urban transportation and their technical feasibility in the next decade. Considers factors which determine urban transportation requirements and the most appropriate mix between mass and individual transportation. Vol. II, Parts A and B ("Automotive Propulsion Systems," and "Short-Range Mass Transportation") present a state-ofthe-art survey of alternatives to the internal combustion engine for automobiles, buses, and trucks and possible technological solutions to the short-range urban mass transportation problem, Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." Business Papers Series, No. 6. Stillwater, Okla.: College of Business Expansion Service, Oklahoma State University, Nov., 1968. This paper provides an analysis of the industrial impact of the construction of the interstate highway system. Michigan. Aeronautics Commission and Department of Commerce, Transportation Predictive Procedures: Commercial and General Aviation. See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of Commerce. State Resource Planning Program. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Summary Report. See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of State Highways. Office of Planning. Resource Transportation Planning Unit. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Highway Travel. See FORECASTING.. Planning Division. Traverse City Area Transportation Study, Draft One. Lansing, Michigan, 1966. A thorough examination of transportation system requirements —current usage and deficiencies and proposals for the future transportation within the Traverse City urban area, U.S. Department of Transportation. Office of the Secretary of Transportation. Input-Output Analysis and Transportation Planni. Jan., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 725. -32 -

TECHNOLOGY — Continued U.S. Congress. House of Representatives. Committee of Science and Astronautics. A _Stu of Technology Assessment. Report of the Committee of Public Engineering Policy, National Academy of Engineering. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, July, 1969. This study includes a annalysis of three separate experiments in technology assessment. The experiments were investigations of methodology, feasibility, and the potential value of technology assessment by groups with varying backgrounds.

TECHNOLOGY Ayres, Robert U. Technology and Urban Transportation: Environmental Qua1ity Co_0nsiderat ions. See TRANSPORTATION. Besselievre, Edmund B. The Treatment of Industrial Wastes. See ENVIRONMENTAL AND NATURAL RESOURCES, Bright, James R. "Evaluating Signals of Technological Change." See FORECASTING, Carter, Anne P. "The Economics of Technological Change." See ECONOMICS. Dean, Burton V., et al. A Preimina Report on the Economic Impact of Research and Development Budget Decrements. See ECONOMICS Fusfeld, Alan R. "The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting." See FORECASTING. Kasper, Raphael G., ed. Technlogy Assessment —The Proceedings of a Seminar Series. Apr., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, N69-40301-305. A collection of papers given at the Program Policy Studies in Science and Technology, George Washington University, on the concept of technology assessment. The objectives to understand and appraise the results of technological progress. Ludlow, John D. "The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting." See FORECASTING. Smith, William J. J., amd Creamer, Daniel. R&D and Small-Company Growth: A Statistical Review and Cmpany Case Studies. Studies in Business Economics No. 102. New York: National Industrial Conference Board, Inc., 1968. The report seeks to shed needed light on the economic effects of Research and Development on small-company operations, the conditions for the establishment and expansion of permanent small-company research and development programs, the purpose and scope of these programs, and the more important constraints on the utilization of research and development output. U.S. Agency for International Development. Natural Resources: Energy, ater and River Basin Develomen. Vol. of ience, Tenol and Dev ment. Series of U.S. papers prepared for the United Nations Conference on the Application of Science and Technology for the Benefit of the Less Developed Areas. John H. Durston and Norman J. Meiklejohn, eds. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1962. -30 - (Continued)

RECREATION AND TOURISM-Continued Michigan. Department of Conservation. Recreation Resource Planning Division, Mihigan's Recreation Future. Prepared with the assistance of the Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Office of Economic Expansion, State Resource Planning Division, Lansing, Michigan, Sept., 1966. A current statement from Michigan's continuwing outdoor recreation plan. Milliken, J. Gordon, and Mew, H. E., Jr. Economic and Social Imt o f Recreation at Reclamation Reservoirs. Denver, Colo.: Industrial Economics Division, Denver Research Institute, University of Denver, Mar., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 544. A preliminary exploration of the economic and social impacts of recreation opportunities resulting from reservoir construction. North Carolina. Department of Conservation and DevelopmentDivision of Community Planning. Recreation Master Plan EdSenl Nonrth, aa. N.C. P-54. Sept., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and technical Information, PB 189 809. The study determineis the existing recreation facillities available to the people anl: he. city's social, economic, and physical characteristics. Evaluated with respect to both present and future recreation requirements and recommendat ions. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission. Economic Studies of Outdoor Recreation ORRC Study Report 24. Prepared by the Cotmission staff, University of California, Berkeley, California. Washington, D.C.: GovernmentPrinting Office, 1962. The four economic studies of outdoor recreation making up this study represedt different applications of economics to several significant: probl'ems of outdoor recreation —those that confront legislators, policymakers, and planners in the field of outdoor recreation. Pennington, Allan L.; Ross, Ivan; and Rudelius, William. Minnesota Tourism '68: A Market Asral sis. School of Business Administration, University of Minnesota, Minanepolis, Minnesota. St. Paul, Minna.: Minnesota State Planning Agency, Jan., 1969. The study concerns the promotion and improvement of Minnesota's recreational product in order to attract more vacationers.

4 RECREATION AND TOURISM Allen, Gerald L. Colorado Ski and Winter Recreation Statistics, 1968. Boulder, Colo.: Business Research Division, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Colorado, 1968. Describes the ski industry in Colorado, assesses visits to major Colorado recreation areas, and reflects' on the economic effects of the industry. Associat ion line. of Bay Area Governments, Berkeley, California. Bay ShoreSee ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrey C. An Overview of the Economic Potential of S ort and Commercial Fisheies in the pper at Lakes ReSion. See ECONOMICS. Ellis, J. B. Outdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan byLa Systems Anal Sis Approach. Part I: A Manual for "Program RECSYS." Technical Report No. 1. Prepared for the Recreation Resource Planning Division, Mich' Dept. of Conservation, Lansing, Michigan, May, 1966. A report on the development and use of a county-tocounty systems model and its application in analyzing demand for various activit ies. Hass, Raymond M., and Schmidt, J William West Vrgin ave and Tourism Study —The Potential Market. West Virginia Economic Development Series No. 3. Morgantown, W. Va.: College of Commerce, Bureau of Business Research, and the College of Engineering, West Virginia University, Nov., 1964. Measures and analyzes the potential of areas outside of West Virginia and the needs and desires in the state for tourism. Keeling, William B. The Georgia Travel Industry: 1960-1968. Travel Research Study No. 11. Prepared for the Tourist Division, Georgia Department of Industry and Trade, Athens, Georgia, 1969. Athens, Ga.: Division of Research, College of Business Asministration, University of Georgia. A description of the Georgia travel industry and its economic impact on the state. Lam, Frank C. K. A Research Stud of Hotel Requirements in Hong Kong Research and StatisticsDepartment, Hong Kong Tourist Association, Nov., 1969. This study presents an analysis of the total accommodations available in Hong Kong. It attempts to assess future requirements in the light of existing forecasts of visitor traffic and other factors affecting hotel occupancy. Also examines other aspects of the hotel situation in Hong Kong —seasonality and pattern of demand. -28 - (Continued) q

POPULATION Battelle Memorial Institute. Socio-Economics Research Section. The a. Manowe Stud — Phase I. Lansing, Mich.: Michigan Employment Security Commission, Dept. of Labor, May, 1966. Presents the first phase of an analysis of the characteristics of Michigan's labor force in the next 15 years; 32 of the 51 specific occupations to be included in the study are analyzed. Manpower and Regional Economics Division. TheMici_. Manpower: Stud —Final Report, Lansing,Mich.: Michigan Employment Security Commission, Dept. of Labor, Nov., 1966. The final report on 51 occupations in Michigan with projections of the labor force for the next 15 years. Benrud, C. H. Systematic Procedures for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina. See FORECASTING, Browning, Harley L., and Long, Larry H., eds. Po ulation Mobiit Focuses on Texas. Austin, Tex.: Bureau of Business Rdsearch, University of Texas, 1968:. The monograph concerns population mobility and redistribution of population in Texas. Topics include interstate migration, patterns of migration for short periods, migration and mobility for urban areas with socioeconomic characteristics of movers, the process of urbanization, and population decline in 71' Texas counties. Kievat, Irene M. Michigan npower Resources See ECONOMICS * Liu, Ben-Chieh. "The Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66j. See ECONOMICS. Morgan, William E.; Peart, Margaret W.; and Barker, Florence P. 0Demora hic Stud of W omin: Po ulation in Transition. Prepared for the Wyoming Department of Economic: Planning and Development, Division of Business and Economic Research, College of Commerce and Industry, University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming,L Dec., 1969. Contains a survey of historical demographic and related economic and social trends; analysis of historical trends;. and population projection by five-year intervals for the state and for each county using several analysis and forecasting methodologies, Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates and Projections of Economic and Demorahic Characteristics —Saginaw County, Michi an. See ECONOMICS Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan." Unpublished M.S, dissertation, Department of Resource Development, Michigan State University, 1967. -27 -

PLANNING- -Cont inued David B. Smith Engineers, Inc. Coprehensive Water Supply ewerage, Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES Southwestern Pennsylvania Regional Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternative Regional Develo ent Patterns. Aug., 1965. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 184 388. Analyzes factors that influence rate and direction of land development. Suggests goals and development principles for future growth. Presents the implications of continuing present development trends or goals and the implications of alternative development patterns. Evaluates alternatives in terms of goals. TRW Incorporated. Systems Group. "Greater Cleveland Goals and Programs." Prepared for the Greater Cleveland Growth Association and presented to a group of more than 100 community representatives in Cleveland, Ohio, Sept. 21, 1968. This study was conducted with the primary objective of suggesting community roles for the Growth Association. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts. Framework for Coherent Polic on Urban Land. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administration..ndustrial Location as a Factor in Reional Economic Development. See ECONOMICS. U.S. Department of Transportation. Office of the Secretary of Transportation Input-Output Analysis and Transportation Planning See TRANSPORTATION. U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Science and Technology. The Universities and Environmental iy —to Poblem Focused Education. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Vines, William R. Recreation and 0 en Saee. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Wilson, A. G. "Research for Regional Planning." Regional Studies, III (Apr., 1969). The paper is concerned with analysis of cities and regions on the one hand, and the process of planning on the other. -26 -

PLANNING- Continued Michigan. Executive Office of the Governor. Bureau of Planning and Program Development. Office of Planning Coodination. Mihi n's Plannin and Develo ment Re ions, Delineation Criteria andComments. Information Bulletin No. 3. Lansing, Michigan, Mar., 1968. A list of state planning and development regions —region 10 is the Sea Grant area, Mississippi State University. College of Business and Industry. Division of Research. n Anal sis of the Economic Feasibilit of Expanding the Greenville Port Facilities See:ECONOMICS. National Industrial Conference Board. Persptives for the 70's:and 80sTomorrow's Problems Confrontn da's Manaemnt New rk National Industrial Conference Board, 1970. Forecast of thi likely problems of the 1970s and 1980s by a panel of experts using. the Delphi technique. Also presents the result of a public opnion survey to determine the public,!awareness of such problems. "1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II." See ECONOMICS. Northern Great Lakes Re ion Multi-Soil Conservation Districts'i Framework Proram for the Grand Traverse Ba Broad Pro-ram Area — hc-i~ga;n, No. 10. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES.: u i: C ou Pasma, Theodore K. iOrganizd strict: A Toof o nit Development Prepared for the Area Development Div'sion, Office of Technical Servicies, U S. Dept. of Commerce, Ju nil!0 54 Washington, D.C.: Governent Printing Office, 1954. Thi 'gulidebook describes the establtshment of planned communities. d: industry counterparts of modern residential subdivisions, Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Conrmission.- Office of th County Planner. Interi Zoniand Sutbdivision Mich. P-269.. Sginaw Metropolitanl Area Transportat ion Study, Work Paper —Infctration, July, 1969. Distributed by the U S. Dept. of Commerce, *iional Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific a-i Technical Information, No, 190 067. This narratiove provides a framework within which a local zoning ordinance or subdivision control ordinance may be constructed or amended. A model zoning ordinance is presented and a state model subdivision control' ordinance is recommended. Santa Clara County Planning Department. Completion Repore P ann Research and Analysis Project. California P-148. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientif ic and Technical Informat ion, PB -184 156. Describes the development and use of an expandable planning data file consisting of land use data and census data for every parcel of land in Santa Clara County. Two land use inventories were conducted, one in 1965 and the other in 1967. -25- (d).~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~Gu.i.u.. d.)

PLANNING- - Cont inued Economic Base Re ort. (Ann Arbor, Mich.) See ECONOMICS. Ellis, J. B. Outdoor Recreation Planning in Michigan by a Systems Anal is Aproach. Part I: A Manual for"Program RECSYS,. See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Keiser, Sheron Ann. A Survey of Multi-Cont ratin n North, Carolina. N.C. P-64. Prepared for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, State Planning Task Force, Sept., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 230. Outlines the events leading to the creation of a regional approach to the governmental function using the nature of North Carolina regional or multi-county organizations and programs. Wm. S. Lawrence and Associates, Inc. Banor Michian Comrhensive Plan. Prepared for the Bangor Planning Commission and the Mich. Dept. of Commerce Community Planning Division, Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 383. A comprehensive plan for a small community —spec ifically, Bangor, Michigan. Leontief, Wassily. "The Structure of Development." See ECONOMICS. Loebs, Stephen F. The Traverse City Affiliation in Extended Care. Research Report No. 1. Ann Arbor, Mich.: Bureau of Hospital Administration, University of Michigan, 1969. A case study of an affiliation for extended medical care between a county government-owned long-term care facility and a voluntary shortterm hospital in Traverse City, Michigan. Gives facts on hospital costs for the James Decker Munsun Acute Voluntary Hospital in Traverse City. Gives facts on medical care facilities available in Traverse City area. McDevitt, Matthew, and McGowan, Thomson. New York State s Central 2SokilEn ro2ment Sx. N.Y. P-116. Prepared for the New York State Office of Planning Coordination, Albany, New York, Jan., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 475. Describes the need for a monitoring system to provide the state's decision makers with continuous information on social attitudes and problems and to evaluate systematically the state programs which deal with these problems. -24 - (Continued)

PLANNING "Analytical Capabilities for the North Carolina State Planning Process: Introduction and Summary." N.C. P-64. RTI Research Memorandum 0U-389-1. State planning report prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, Apr., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 226. Discusses the research methodology used to analyze long-range needs and to plan for the more efficient allocation of resources over a ten- to twenty-time horizon. Also summarizes the results of several studies designed to assist the North Carolina State government meet these needs. Armenakes, A. A,; Moore, H J.; and Peden, G. T., Jr. Inlanort Fa ilities and Economic Growth. See ECONOMICS. Association of Bay Area Governmennts, Berkeley, California. Shoreline. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES Russell D. Bailey and Associates..The Maste Pn Summar Peestenkill Rensselaer ou New York. Prepared. for the New York State Office of Planning':Coodinat ion, Feb., 1970..Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information,: PB 190 192. This report is a summary of the material prepared for the town of Peestenkill, New Yorku: nder a Comprehensive Planning Assistance Program. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission Diev lomeent Standards. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Bulkley, J. W,, and Garman, Cynthia "Sea Grant Planning Seminars: Ann Arbor —May 11-13, 197:0 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970."t Working Paper. Ann Arbor,:Mich.: Sea Grant Program, School of Natural Resources, University of Michigan, July, 1970. An abridged record of the issues discussed at the planning seminars at the University of Michigan Sea Grant Program. i Committee of Institutional Cooperation, Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy. Analsi of Waterand Related Research Re urements in the Great Lakes Re ion. Prepared for the Office of Water Research, U S. Dept. of the Interior, June, 1968. Indicates the need for a systems analysis model of the Great Lakes. Presents a potential water-quality model on a subregional, subsystem basis. Need for a regional economic-growth model, a water related information system, and a gaming-simulation model is described. -23- (Cont inued)

MANAGEMENT DeTurk, Richard S. Managing the Natural Environment. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Walsh, Donald Eugene. A Su ested Model for the Management of a Sea Grant Inst itutiona Prgram. Sea Grant Publication No. TAMU-SG70-213. College Station, Tex.: Texas A&M University, June, 1970. Purposes: identify elements on which the nucleus of the Sea Grant Program can be built; suggest techniques for setting objectives and evaluating their attainment; suggest ways of encouraging faculty and student identification with the program. Offers techniques for administrative control. Recommends two administrative structures based on (1) subject matter formulation and (2) functional formulation. -22 -

FORECASTING- -C ont inued Pessemier, Edgar A. "Models for New-Product Decisions.tr Institute Paper No. 247. Lafayette, Ind.: Institute for Research in the Behavioral, Economic, and Management Sciences, Herman C. Krannert Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Purdue University, May, 1969. A discussion of new-product ventures and various models used to evaluate a new product and help in decision making. Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates and Projections o Economic and Demogra hicz Characteristics —Sag naw count Mich Ra See ECONOMICS. Saunders, Robert J. Frecasting Water Demand, AInterCommni Std See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. "Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and Projections.1 See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Suits, Daniel B. Econometric Model of Michigan. Technical Report No. 3. Prepared for the State Resource Planning Division, Mich, Dept. of Commerce, Lansing, Michigan, Apr., 1960. Describes the influence that the national economy exerts on Michigan and develops a vehicle for measuring the impact on Michigan of expected changes in the national economy. The analysis provides a valuable tool for preparing short-term forecasts of the Michigan economy.. Econometric Model of Michigan, 1965. See ECONOMICS. U.S. Department of Commerce. "Input-Output Transactions: 1961." Staff Working Paper in Economics and Statistics, No. 16. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, July, 1968. U.S. Department of Transportation. Input-Output Analyis and Trano rtation Planning. See TRANSPORTATION. -21 -

I I FORECASTING- - Continued Ludlow, John D. "The Delphi Method: A Systems Approach to the Utilization of Experts in Technological and Environmental Forecasting." Working Paper No. 3. AnnaArbor, Mich.: Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Michigan, Mar. 24, 1970. Maki, Wilbur R. "Small Area Applications of Input-Output." Paper presented at the Input-Ouput Conference, Palmer House, Chicago, Illinois, Apr. 21, 1970 -Males, Richard M.; Gates, William E.; and Walker, Junius F. ADnamic Model of Water Qualit Mana ement Decision-Making. Submitted to Office of Water Resources Research, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, by Engineering Sciences, Inc., May, 1970. Report of a study entitled "Systematic Analysis of Management Effectiveness of the Water Quality Control Board System of California." Approach focused on informal procedures, attitudes, and objectives that are operative. Michigan. Aeronautics Commission and Department of Commerce in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Commercial and General Aviatipn. Technical Report No. 9A. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Division, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, 1966. _____. Department of Commerce. State Resource Planning Program. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Summary Reort. Technical Report No. 9. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Division, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. Summarizes a series of reports predicting transportation needs in aeronautics, highway, and water travel,. Department of State Highways. Office of Planning. Resource Transportation Planning Unit in cooperation with Arthur D. Little, Inc. Transportation Predictive Procedures: Highwa Travel. Technical Report No. 9B. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Division, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. Details procedures for predicting highway demands in Michigan using a computer model that determines the future highway requirements. Morgan, William; Peart, Margaret W.; and Barker, Florence P. Demographic Stud of Wyoming: Population in Transition. See POPULATION. National Industrial Conference Board. Perspectives for the 70s and 80s: Tommorrow's Problems Confronting Today's Management. See PLANNING. - -- -- m -, - - --- - -- -.- -- - ---- - - --- - I -20 - (Cot nt inufed

FORECASTING- -Continued Helmer, Olaf. Social Technolo. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Feb., 1965. Reappraises the methodology of social sciences. Suggests the use of operations analysis approach, i.e., essentially successive approximation to problems in social sciences for which there are no exact, reliable, or well-established theories. Discusses operational model building and systematic.use of expert opinions. Systematic Use of Expert Opinions. Santa Monica, Calif,: The RAND Corporation, Nov., 1967. Advocates the use of the Delphi technique —describes its use and benefits in general terms. Hittmran Associates, Inc., Columbia, Maryland. "The Main II System (HIT-413)," and "The Main II System User's Manual (HIT-413)"' Vols. I and II of Forecastn Municil Water Requirements. Prepared under contract I#1401-0-001-1977 with the Office of Water Resources Researchl, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Sept' 1969. Distributed by the U.Si Dept. of Commerce, National! Bureau of Standards, Cleartigbouse for Federal Scientific nd Technical Information, Pr 190!275 and PB 190 276. Volume. describes the research whith led to the development of. the. MAIN II System, an impioved forecasting tool. Volume II documents the MAIN II System coipter program and presents detailed instructions for thee usf the system in forecast'ing munii.al. water requirements. "Input-Output Structure of the US. Economy: 1963." Survey o01 Current Busine, Nov., 1969. Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." See TRANSPORTATION. Leontief, WassilyW. "Input-Ouput Economics." Scientific American, XLIIIV (Oct., 1951). Lofting, E. M., and McGauhey, P. H. "An Input-Output Linear Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements." Contribution 116. Part IV of Economic Evaluation of Water. Berkeley, Calif.: Sanitary Engineering Research Laoratories College of Engineering and School of Public Health, University of California, Aug., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 858. considers both the methodology and the limitations of the linear programming model as a planning and decision making goal. -19- (Continued) * * ** * **'' * *. *". '.:. '''. ''. '!.'* ' -* *

FORECASTING- Continued Floyd, Charles F. Economic Growth in the Uper Great Lakes Region 1950-1967. See ECONOMICS. Fusfeld, Alan R. "The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting." Working Paper #438-70. Cambridge, Mass.: Alfred P. Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Jan., 1970. Concerns the implications for forecasting when the basis is the plot of technical parameters against accumulative production. Guide To Economic Projections and Forecasts. Feb., 1967. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 185 941. Presents information to regional commissions and others on currently available national, regional, and subregional economic projections and forecasts as well as an overview of the major economic forecasting research of federal agencies and private research organizations. Haber, William, et al., eds. Michigan in the 1970s: An Economic Forecast. See ECONOMICS. Harris, Curtis C., Jr. "State and County Projections: A Progress Report of the Regional Forecasting Project." Occasional paper series. College Park, Md.: Bureau of Business and Economic Research, University of Maryland, Jan., 1969. Describes the methodology and some of the results of a model used to estimate state and county projections of employment by industry sectors, unemployment, labor force, and population. Helmer, Olaf. Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Mar., 1967. Considers the application of the Delphi technique (a method of effectively using informed intuitive judgment) to the anticipation of future events and the impact on those events of manipulation of intervening variables. Prospects of Technological Progress. Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Aug., 1967. Discusses the role that forecasting of technological development plays in shaping the future of our society. Sees the growing awareness that there is a whole spectrum of possible futures, with varying degrees of probability, and that through proper planning we may exert considerable influence over these probabilities. (Continued)

FORECASTING- - Cont inued Bright, James R. "Evaluating Signals of Technological Change." Harvard Business Review, Jan.-Feb., 1970. Shows how the process of evolution from a scientific concept to a marketable product or technique is affected not only by technological advances, but also by developments in the political, economic, and social environments. Describes methodology for monitoring these environments for signs of change. Bronder, Leonard D., and Koval, JohnM. Michian's Future: -tS Population and Its Economy_. See ECONOMICS. Brown, Byron B. Jr Exor oAnalor Industrial Communi. See ECONOMICS. Committee of Institutionalu Cooperation. Council on Economic Giowth, Technology, and Public Policy. An of Water o a and -Reslated Research Re uirements ig the Great Lakes Region _ See: PIAING. Dalkey, N.; Brown, B..;and Cochran, S. The Del hi Method II: Use of Self-Ratin s _to Im roveeGrou Estimates. Memorandum 'RM-6115-PR prepared for the U.S. Air Force Project RAND.. Santa Moifica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S:Dept. of Commerce, National.T Bureau of Stanhards Clearinghouse for Federail 'Sci entific and Technical InformaLtLn, AD 698 735. Examines the possibility of using respondent self'-'ratings as a criterion for select:ing more accurate subgroups ina pplications of the Delphi proiedureS for eliciting group judgments. Daniel, Mann, Johnson & Mendenhall, Consultants. Economic Forecasts for B theCit e of La aunaB eh anlal ifornia —General Plan Program. See ECONOMICS. i Downs, Anthony. sureauct t ture and eis emanum EM-4646-1-PR prepared for the U.S. Air Force Project AND,. Santa Monica, Calif.: Thl e RAND. Corporation, Oct., 196.i Thw is study analyzes the behavior of bureaucratic organizations in a wide variety of situation. Enzer, Selwyn.:"A Case Study Using Forecasting as a Decision Making Aid.' IFF Working Paper Wp-2. Middletown, Conn.: Institute for the Future, River view Center, Dec., 1969. Describes a demonstration in which two forecasting techniques were used to aid the planning and decisionmaking process. The primary analytic techniques used were the Delphi Method and the cross-impact matrix technique.: -17.- S:(Continued)

FORECASTING Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy." Contribution No. 128, Part VI of Economic Evaluation of Water. Berkeley, Calif.: Sanitary Engineering Research Laboratories, College of Engineering and School of Public Health, University of California, June, 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 857. The study reviews the role of input-output analysis in resource planning in general and in water and resource planning in particular. Barzelay, Martin E. Fourth Semi-Annual Report —Syracuse/NASA rogram For the Period July, I, 1969-December 31, 1969: Multidisciplinary Studies in Management and Development Programs in the Public Sector. Mar., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, N70-24092. Bass, Frank M. "A New Product Growth Model for Consumer Durables." Management Science, XV (Jan., 1969). This article discusses a growth model for the timing of initial purchase of new products. Benrud, C. H. Systematic Procedures for Population Estimates and Projections for North Carolina. Technical report Su-388-1 prepared for the North Carolina State Department of Administration, Feb., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 225. Provides a detailed description of computer programs for eight major routines for estimating and projecting county populations. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regional Planning Commission. Development Standards. See ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES. Bramer, Henry C., and Motz, Donald J. (Cyrus Wm. Rice Division, NUS Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania). The Economic Value of Water in in Industrial Uses ont ination ). Report prepared for the Office of Water Resources Research, U.S. Department of the Interior, Dec., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 189 248. This study tries to expand upon the previously developed methodology of determining industrial water utilization costs and provides a wider base upon which statistically reliable data can be generated. -16-(Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued U.S. President's Science Advisory Committee. Effective Use of the Sea. Report of the Panel on Oceanography. Washington, D.C.,: Government Printing Office, June, 1966. The panel's studies are an attempt to state the goals for a national program to serve the marine interests, to assess current and planned ocean-oriented programs, to identify opportunities for new programs in technology and science, and to recommend measures to effect an ocean science and technology program consonant with national needs and interests. Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresident Landowners of Ten or More Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan." See POPULATION. Vines, William R. Recreation pnd Open Space. Fla, P-104(g).: Report to the Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County, West Palm Beach, Florda, Apr., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce-, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific anid Technical Information, PB 191 552. Includes an inventory of existing lands and facilitiesi an examination of administering agencies, summary and problems, and irecommended long-range objectlives: and management actions. -15 -

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Seeburger, D. James. "Observations on the Big Rock Nuclear Power Plant: Cooling Water Discharge to Lake Michigan." Lansing, Mich.: Bureau of Water Management, May 21, 1968. David B. Smith Engineers, Inc. omprehensive Water -Supl Swera ge Solid Waste and Air Pollution Control Plans Fla. P-104. Report to the Area Planning Board of Palm Beach County, West Palm Beach, Florida, Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 553. Presents a summary of the information generated under Part I of the study and an analysis of the inventory results leading to the development of comprehensive water supply, sewerage, solid wastes, and air pollution control plans. Larry Smith and Co., Inc., Real Estate Consultants, Land Utilization and Marketability Study, Central Bus iness District Urban Renewal Pro ect Traverse City, Michigan... See ECONOMICS. Southwestern Pennsylvania Regional Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternative Regional Development Patterns, See PLANNING. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts. Framework for a Coherent Policy on Urban Land. Sept., 1969. Distributed by U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 842. Concerns urban land development related to public control. Identifies broad policy objectives of increasing "urban capacity." Inventories federal policies on urban land, identifies gaps, and proposes policies to fill those gaps. U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Science and Technology. Federal Water Resources Research Program for Fiscal Year 1970. Prepared by the Federal Council for Science and Technology, Committee on Water Resources Research. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, Dec., 1969. This annual report of the COWRR of the FCST reflects the committee's effort at self-evaluation. _ The Universities and Environmental Quality —Commitment to Problem Focused Education. Report by John S. Steinhart and Stacie Cherniach to the President's Environmental Quality Council. Washington, D.C.: Office of Science and Technology, Sept., 1969. Study of a few of the vigorous multidisciplinary programs at universities. Programs of interest are those directed at discovering environmental alternatives and developing the broadly trained professionals to deal with environmental problems. Includes recommendations for federal action. -14- (Continued (Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Herman D. Ruth and Associates, City and Regional Planning Consultants, Berkeley, California. Regiona nd Local Land _se Planning. Report prepared under a contract with the Public Land Law Review Commission, PLLRC Study Report No. 10, June, 1969 (revised Feb., 1970). Distributed by the U'.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 189 410, 411, 412, 413. A series to provide data for the Commission's use in forming a basis for recommending future public land policies to Congress and the President of the United States. Volume III includes the content of the planning program methodologies, practices, and criteria governing the land use planning procedures of each major federal land management agency. Emphasizes the objectives, principles, factors, and methods of land classification employed in land use planning. Saginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission. Office of the County Planner, Saginaw Count:-Land Use Analyis. Mich. P-269. Saginaw, Michigan, Nov., 1:969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Co naerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 057. This report analyzes the compositidn, tharacteristics, and problem areas of the 1967 county land use ptter'n and identifies factors and:influences which have shaped and 5'e dhaping the existing land use pattern in the county. It ex ixte the consequences of the existing land use pattern upon future de elopment, Outlines selected co&urses of action to change exist&ing land- use trends, and delineates areas for future development. _. Interim Zoning and Subdivision. See PLANNING. Saunders, Robert J. Forecastin Water Demand An Inter- and:ntra-Community Study. West Virginia University Business and Economic Studies, Vol. 11, No. 2. Morgantown, W. Va.: Bureau of Businessl Research, College of Commerce, W. Virginia University, 1969. This study identifies the factors closely associated with the level of water usage in urban areas. Alternative forecasting methods as well as projection sets of water usage ard suggested and constructed. _ "Urban Area Water Consumption: Analysis and ProjeCtions. Quarterly Reviewof Economics and Business, IX (Summer, 1969). Attempts to identify those factors which, on an aggregate basis, are closely associated with the level of water usage in urban areas. Projections are made for the consumption of water supplied by municipal water companies in 141 urban areas for the year 1975. (Continued) -13-

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Northern Great L'kes Region Multi-Soil Conservation Districts' Framework Program for the Grand Traverse Bay, Broad Program Area — Michigan No. 10. Prepared by Emmet, Charlesvoix, Antrim, Kalkaska, Grand Traverse, Benzie and Leelanau Soil Conservation Districts with the assistance of the U.S. Soil Conservation Service —Cooperative Extension Service, Oct. 28, 1966. Presents a framework program for the Grand Traverse Bav area. Michigan. Overman, Michael. Water: Solutions to a Problem of Supply and Demand. Garden City, N. Y.: Doubleday & Co., Inc., 1969. An overview of methods for maintaining a balanced distribution of water for agricultural, industrial, and personal use. Includes information on dams, desalination, and pollution. Parker, Frank L., and Krenkel, Peter A. Engineering Aspects of Thermal Pollution; Biological Aspects of Thermail Pollution. Nashville, Tenn,: Vanderbilt University Press, 1969. This book documents the disastrous effects which thermal pollution can have on rivers, lakes, estuaries, and coastal waters, with recommendations for solutions. Rensselaer County Department of Planning and Promotion. Land Use Analysis. Prepared under the Urban Planning Assistance Program for the New York State Office of Planning Coodination, Dec., 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 181. The object-of the study was to determine the existing patterns of development as well as the specific primary building use. Rhode Island Statewide Comprehensive Transportation and Land Use Planning Program, Providence, Rhode Island. State of Rhode Island Public Rights-of-Way to the Shore. R.I. P-51, Mar., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 231. The report summarizes the case law, legislation, and definitions relating to the public rights-of-way, presents an inventory and analysis of the rights-of-way for each municipality, and contains the recommendations for further legislative and administrative actions. W (Continued) c....|a... wF -12 -

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES- -Continued Gloyna, Earnest F., ed. Advances in Wtr Q:ualt im. Austin, TeSx. University of Texas Press, 1968. A series of scholarly articles on water pollution control and recent progress in water quality improvement Contains the most advanced thinking onwaste-water handling, treatment, and disposal Goldman, Marshall I., ed. Controllin Pollution The Economics of a Cleaner America. Englewood Cliffs, NJ.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1967. A collection of the writings of several biologists, ecoinomists, and others interested in the problems of air and water pollution. Hittman Associates, Inc. Forecastin Munici al Water Re uireets. See FORECASTING. Keeling, William B., et al. Economic Imac of the Proo:sediimberland' Island National Seashore. See ECONOMICS. Lake Michian Basin Stud Mchian Section. Jan., 1968. Pamphlet prepared by the League of Women Voters of Michigan on existing problems and control measures in the Michigan Section of the Lake Michigan Basin. Loft ing, E. M., and McGauhey, P. H. "A'n Input-Output Linear;Programming Analysis of California Water Requirements'." See FORECASTING. Males Richard M.; Gates, William E.; and Walker, Junius F. A Dnamic Model of Water u alit lanaement Decision-Makin. See FORECASTING Mellanby, Kenneth. Pesticides and Pollution. London: William Collins Sons & Co., Ltd., 1967. Concise descriptions of the chemical properties and effects of pesticides and the various forms of pollutants affecting air, rivers, and seas. Nedved, Thomas K. "Pesticides in the Grand Traverse Bay Region of Northern Lake Michigan." Paper presented at the Thirteenth Conference on Great Lakes Research, International Association for Great Lakes Research, Buffalo, New York, Apr. 2, 1970. This study shows, by means of tables and maps, the degree of pesticide concentrations at various points in the Grand Traverse Bay. Nikolaieff, George A. The Water Crisis. New York: H. W. Wilson Co., 1967. An analysis of water needs now and in the future. The financial problems inherent in water pollution abatement are given detailed treatment. -11 - (Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES —Continued Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrey C. An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sport and Commercial Fisheries in the Upper Great Lakes Region. See ECONOMICS. Committee of Institutional Cooperation. Council on Economic Growth, Technology, and Public Policy. Analsis of Water an Water e Research Requirements in the Great 'Lakes Reion. See PLANNING. Cunningham, Floyd F. 1001 Questions Answered about Water Rsources. New York: Dodd, Mead & Co., 1967. Arranged in questlon-and-answer format, this book treats the problems of supply, development, and conservation of water, providing much information on the sources and consequences of pollution. Darnton, Donald C., and Meiburg Charles 0. The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Economy of the Commonwealth. See ECONOMICS. DeBell, Garret. The Environmental Handbook. New York: Ballantine Books, Inc., 1970. This handbook was designed as a source of ideas and tactics for the April 22, 1970 National Environmental Teach-In. Experts discuss pollution; pesticides, waste disposal, survival, etc., and present constructive suggestions for individual and group action. DeTurk, Richard S. Manai n the Natural Environment. Prepared for the Tri-State Transportaion Conmission, New York, New York, Mar, 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 290. A regional plan for water, sewage, air, and refuse. Eutrophication: Causes Consequences Correctives. Washington, D.C.: Division of Biology and Agriculture, National Research Council, 1969. A collection of papers by international experts on the disastrous consequences of releasing excess nutrients and pollutants into the rivers, lakes, and seas. Fogel, M. E., et al. "Comprehensive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regions." Final report of the Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N. Carolina, Feb., 1970. Prepared for the National Air Pollution Control Administration of the Department of Health, Education and Welfare. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 191 054. Based on estimates of costs of controlling emissions of selected pollutants from 22 sources within 100 oet-ropoLitan areas. Costs are presented by region and sources, (Continued)

ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCES Association of Bay Area Governments, Berkley, California. Bay:Shoreline. Supplemental Report RP-2. May', 1968. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National'Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse forFederal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 184 360, The report concerns a regional plan for the Bay area which is developed around five problems: shoreline development, parks and open space, refuse. disposal, transportation, and design of a regional information, system. Ayres, Robert U. Technolol gy:and U Traspat Environmenta ua nsidaertions..See TANSPORTATION. Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programming Model of the California and Western States Water Economy." See FORECASTING. Behrman, Abraham S. Water iEe ls Business The Chemist of Water Purificaton. Garden Ciy, N.Y.: Anchor Books, 1968'. After a description of water sourAces|, the author turns to the types of soluble matter contained ine naetlural waters and the techniq es of water purification. Besselievre, Edmund B. The Treatmet of Industrial Wastes New York McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1969, A technical work on waste treatment, especially useful as a refere ce source for engineers in th9e field of industrial waste treatment,' Includes data on governmela,! involvement in waste treatment programs and recent legislation relating to pollut ion. Birmingham-Jefferson County Regipnal Planning Commission. Develo ment Standards. Dec., 1966. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Seientific and Technical Information, a ePB 184 379. The report gives a set of standards for determining wfuture urban land needs —residehtial, commercial, and industrial —to be used for translation of pdpulation and economic activity projections into estimates of and needed for future development., " Blome, Donald A. ThePro os-ed Sle e Bear Duas Natoonal Lakehore — An Assessment^^_ the Ecohom C ctset. See ECONOMICS.* Bramer, Henry C., and Motz, Donald J. The Economic Value of Waterin Industrial Uses A Continuation). See FORECASTING. Briggs, Peter. Water, The Vital Essence. New York: Harper & Row, 1967. A highly readable treatment of the origin of water, water research projects, and the problems of water control. (Continued) -9 -

ECONOMICS - -Continued Vertrees, Robert C. "A Study of Nonresident Landowners Acres in Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, Michigan." of Ten or More See POPULATION.

ECONOMICS —Cont inued Southwestern Pennsylvania Planning Commission, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alternative Regional Deve nt Patterns. See PLANNING. Suits, Daniel B. Econometric Model of Michi a. 1960. See FORECASTING. __. Econometric Model of MiChian. Compiled for the Office of Economic Expansion, Micho Dept. of Commerce, Lansing, Michigan, June 1965. Presents the results of a statistical study of the Michigan economy and its relationships to the national economy. TRW Incorporated. Sytems Group. r'Greater Cleveland Goals and Programs." See PLANNING. Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission. Economic Atlas Upper Great Lakes Basin. Washington, D.C., Oct., 1968. Maps summarize data on the economy of the region, which were drawn from county and other local entities. The maps make apparent at a glance significant distributional aspects of population, economics, social, and institutional information. _ _Growth Centers and Their Potentials in the U per Geat Lakes Regio. Report of the Commission. May, 1969. The Commission's report is a view of the region in terms of potential investment "areas.. _ Worokine Pa ers and Re Ional Pro ect Pro osals for Eary Action Program #3: Public Facilities and Services for Economic Development, D3velomental Ar orts. Mar,, 1968. Presents an immediate action program of urgently needed projects that are designed to increase the capacity and reliability of airports in carefully selected communities. Urban Land Research Analysts Corporation, Lexington, Massachussetts. Some Relevant Considerations for Metropolitan Fiscal Polic. Final Report #4. Feb., 1970. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Gommerce, National Bureau of Standardss Clearinghouse for Federal iScientific and Technical Information, PB 190 761. This report seeks to identify policies that local governments —on their own in some cases of with federal support in others —can adopt to counter the distortions and other deleterious effects of the property tax which is, and will continue to be, their.major source of revenue.. U.S. Department of Commerce. "Input-Output Transactions: 1961." See FORECASTING.. Economic Development Administration. Industrial Location as a Factor in Re Economic Developmnt Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1966, This report is designed to help regional commissions determine their role in industrial development. -7 - Cc"nainudB

ECONOMICS — Cont inued Michigan. Executive Office of the Govenor. Bureau of Planning and Program Development. Office of Planning Coordination. Michigan's Planning and Development Regions Delineat ion Criteria and Comments. See PLANNING. Mississippi State University. College of Business and Industry. Division of Research, An Analysis of the Economic Feasibility of Expanding the Greenville Port Facilities. Reportto the Vicksburg District Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, Mississippi, 1970. The objectives of this report are to determine if a need exists to expand the Port of Greenville, Mississippi and, if so, when. "1970 Site Selection Handbook —Vol. II." Prepared by the editors of Industrial evelo. Atlanta, Ga.: Conway Research, Inc., 1970. Includes information about industry on growth factors, financing facts, legislative incentives and assistance, guides to sites and development organizations, bibliography, survey of the state development programs, and a checklist of site selection factors. Northwest Michigan Economic Development District Commission, Traverse City, Michigan. Prologue for Accelerated Growth of Econom. Oct., 1968. The report sets forth the economic profile of the district and provides the basis for the second phase of the program — the action plan. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission. Economic Studies of Outdoor Recreation. See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Pessemier, Edgar A. "Models for New-Product Decisions." See FORECASTING. Real Estate Research Corporation. Estimates...aro'eCtions of Economic and Demographic Characteristics —Saginaw County, Michigan. Mich. P-269. Saginaws Mich SaSaginaw County Metropolitan Planning Commission, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 190 056. This study includes estimates and projections of population, employment, housing, auto registrations, and land use for small areas and the city of Saginaw in the Saginaw SMSA. Analytical procedures are briefly defined and assumptions made concerning the future of the local area. The intent of the study was to provide quantitative inputs to the comprehensive planning and transportation study planning processes of Saginaw County. Larry Smith and Co., Inc., Real Estate Consultants. Land Utilization and Marketab ility -Study, Central Business District Urban _Renewal Project, Traverse City Michian. Report prepared for Traverse City, Michigan, May 31, 1967. The study evaluates both the suitability of the potential and possible major land reuses for the redevelopment of the project area, as well as the marketability of land allocated for specific reuses. -6-.(Lontinuedd)

ECONOMICS- -Cont inued Lamont, Larry. "Michigan's Chemical Industry." Unpublished report prepared for the Industrial Development Division, Institute of Science and Technology, University of Michigan, An AArbor, Mich., 1968. An intensive study of Michigan's chemical industry —one of the staters most important industries' —and its problems. Leontief, Wassily W. "Input-Output Economics." See FORECASTING, * "The Structure of Development'. Scientific America, Sept., 1963. Analysis of an economy by the input-output iethhod reveals its internal structure, which is dictated largely b;technology. Applied to underdeveloped' economies, the techniq'ue t out paths to growth. _ "The Structure of the U.S. Economy." Scientific Amer ican, CCXII (Apt., 1965).,_____ and Hoffenberg, Marvin. "The Economic Effects of Disarmament." Scientific American CCIV.(Apr., 1961) The technique. of inpt- - output analysis is adopted to facilitate forecasting the effect on sales and jobs if funds now expended for military purposes are realloeated. Liu, Ben-Chieh. "ZThe Relationship among Population, Income and Retail Sales in SMSAs, 1952-66." Quarterly Review of Economics aidl Business, X (Spring, 1970). Loebs, Stephen F. The Traverse City Affiliatinn in Extended Care See PLANNING. Lofting, E. M., and McGauhey, P. H. "An Input-Output Linear Programmning Analysis of California Water Requirements." See FORECASTING. Maki, Wilbur R. "Small Area Applications of Input/Output.": See FORECASTING. Michigan. Department of Commerce. Northwest Michigan Development District and the Office of Community Planning. Cogmunt and Anni and Development in the Northwest Michi gan Develo ment Dstrict Mich. P-295. Lansing, Michigan, My, 1970. The satus anning among the units of government in the Northwest Development District is shown in an inventory of the enabling statutes under which planning and zoning bodies are established and of current planning studies, technical assistance, implementive tools, and educational programs. (Continued) -5 -

ECONOMICS - -Cont inued Haber, William; Spivey, W. Allen; and Warshaw, Martin R., eds. Michigan in the 1970s: An Economic Forecast. Michigan Business Studies Vol. XVI, No. 4. Ann Arbor, Mich,: Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Michigan, 1965. An examination of the problems of Michigan's industrial economy and how successfully it can adjust to economic change in the 1970s. The following topics are included: the national economy, the supply of capital in the United States, a demographic analysis of Michigan, the future of the Detroit Metropolitan Area, and the social structure of the Michigan labor market. Hazard, John L. Michigas ommerce Domesticand International. Technical Report.No 5. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Apr., 1966. Analyzes the size, scope, and structure of Michigan's trade with other states and foreign nations and Michigan's current commercial role. 'Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy: 1963. Survey of Current Business, Nov., 1969. Keeling, William B. The Georgia Travel Industry:. 1960-1968. See RECEATION AND TOURISM. ___._, et al, Economic Impact of the Propose Cumberland Island National Seashore. Report prepared for the National Park.Service, U.S. Dept. of the Interior. Athens, Ga.: Bureau of Business and Economic Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Georgia, 1968. The study determines how Camden and Glynn counties as well as the travel industry will be affected if the proposal to develop Cumberland Island as a national park is carried out by the National Park Service. Keiser, Sheron Ann. A Survey of ulti-County Cooperation in North Caro lina. See PLANNING. Kievat, Irene M. Michigan's anpower Resources. Technical Report No. 10C. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Sets forth the demands for occupational skills which will be generated by the future course of our business and industrial development. Lage, Gerald M. "The Industrial Impact of the Interstate Highway System: An Input-Output Analysis." See TRANSPORTATION. (Continued) -4-:

ECONOMICS - -Continued Darnton, Donald C., and Meiburg, Charles 0. The Contributions of the Ports of Virginia to the Econom of the Commonwealth. Charlottesville, Va.: Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia, Oct., 1968. This report on the contributions of Virginia's ports to the staters economy introduces changes in method and scope that distinguish the resulting estimates from those of earlier studies, Dean, Burton V., et al. A Preliminary Report on the Economic Impact of Research and Development Budget Decrements. Cleveland, Ohio: Case Western Reserve University, Dec., 1969. Distributed by the 1U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for.VFderal Scientific and Technical' Information, AD 703 897. This study, determines what effect a decrement 'in the financing of research and|, development projects by the federal governmenf will have on research organizations and on -the local regional economy. A computer simulatibn model to investigate such effects is developed. EcPnomic Base Report. Ann Arbor, Mich.: Planning Dept. and Planning Coommis-" sion, Aug., 1965. In this study generalizations about university towns are tested against available facts, and additionali conclusions suggested by the data are advanced. Edwards, Dale, and Blasius, Richard. Michigan Port Hinterlands as Deterind b nland Carrerla Rates Technical Report No.8. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Program, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Dec., 1966. The study offers some facts and figures about the relation between Michigan ports and the state's total conmnerce and industry, and gives further impetus to the full use of the St. Lawrehce Seaway. Floyd, Charles F. Economic Growth in the Uper Great. Lakes R t eon 1950-1967. Prepared for the Office of Economic Researchl Economic Development Administratioxn.U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C., Apr., 1970. The study defines the income gap, documents is gnit ude in the Upper Great Lakes region, analyzes the reasons f o he slow employment growth, and projects the region s employment grwth to 1980. Fogel, M. E., et al l"Comprehenlive Economic Cost Study of Air Pollution Control Costs for Selected Industries and Selected Regiots." See ENVIRONMENT AND DNATURAL RESOURCES. Guide to Economic Projections and Forecasts. See FORECASTING. Continued).. 3.........::: 7 T: 0 D - -.......... x

I I ECONOMICS — Cont inued Bronder, Leonard D., and Koval, John M. Michigans Economic Past: Basis for Prosperity. Technical Report No. 10A. Lansing, Mich.: State Resource Planning Division, Office of Economic Expansion, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Traces the development of Michigan's economy from the turn of the century to the present (1967). Covers employment and income trends, explains and provides shift-share analysis of employment changes.. Michigan's Future: Its Population and Its Economn. Technical Report No. 10B, Lansing, Mich. State Resource Planning Division, Office of Economic Expansion, Mich. Dept. of Commerce, Mar., 1967. Traces the development of urban centers and establishes the relation between the economic prosperity of the state and the long-run. pattern of immigration. Contains economic as well as population data for the year 1980, Economic forecasting methodology is given in the Michigan Manp er Study. Brown, Byron B., Jr. Export-Emp loyment Multiplier Analsis of a Major Industrial Communit. Study No. 7. Houston, Tex.: Center for Research in Business and Economics, University of Houston, 1964. A study of basic and total employment relations in the Houston Metropolitan Area. Bulkley, J. W., and Garman, Cynthia. "Sea Grant Planning Seminars: AnnArbor —May 11-13, 1970 and Traverse City —May 25-27, 1970." See PLANNING. Carter, Anne P. "The Economics of Technological Change." Scientific American, CCXIV (Apr., 1966). Chubb, Michael, and Greene, Jeffrey C. An Overview of the Economic Potential of Sport and Commercial Fisheries inthe uper Great Lakes Region. Technical Report No. 3.* East Lansing, Mich.: Recreation Research and Planning Unit, Department of Resource Development, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Michigan State University, Nov., 1968, The planning statement outlines the present situation, points out the problems and potentials, and suggests program directions for achieving desirable development of the region's sport and commercial fisheries. Daniel, Mann, Johnson, & Mendenhall, Consultants. Economic Forecasts for the C of Launa Beach California —General Plan Pro ram. Report prepared for the city of Laguna Beach, Nov., 1969. Distributed by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, PB 188 547. (Cnotinued) -2- - - -. ': -

ECONOMICS Allen, Gerald L. Colorado Ski.and Winter Recreation Statistics, 1968. See RECREATION AND TOURISM. Armenakes, A. A.; Moore, H. J.; and Peden, G. T., Jr. Inland Port F!acilities and Economic Growth, State College, Miss.: Division of Research, College of Business and Industry, Mississippi State University, 1970. Four basic purposes of the study are to analyze the role of inland port facilities in economic growth, construct the industrial Structure of each inland port county with respect to those groups that ut'iize water transportation, determine the interindustry demand among groups of industries that use water transportation and analyze ihe differentials among inland port counties. Bargur, Jona. "A Dynamic Interregional Input-Output Programinig: odel of the California and Western States Water Economy."' See fFOECiASTING. Bass, Frank M. '"A New Product Model for Growth Consumer Durables." See FORECASTING Battelle Memorial Institute~. Columbus (Ohio) Laboratories,!' Industries Suited for the Uer Great Lakes Re Rept by David C. Sweet, John M. Griffin, and Hal S. Maggied for the Upper Great Lakes Regional Commission, 1970. Evaluates industries best suited for the Upper Great Lakes region. Identified industries have ceraiin charac - teristics thatmake their potential for locating in the region higher than that of other industries. Socio-'Economi Research Section. The Michigan Manpower StudyPhase I, See POPULATION.. Socio-Economic Research Section. Manpower and Regionlal Economics Div. The Michigan Manpower Study —inal Report. See POPULATION. Blome, Donald A. The Proposed Slee in Bear Dunes 'National a ieho re —An Assessment of the Economic I macts Lansing, Micht: InSitijtute for Community Development and Services, Michigan State Univer ity Sept., 1967. Analyzes the economic effect on agriculture, manufacturing, forestry, and tourism in Benzie and Leelanau counties if the Sleeping Bear Dunes become a national lakeshore. (Continued)' -1 -

I )sw f l l z l~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Oh>

CONTENTS Economics Environment and Natural Resources 9 Forecasting 16 Management '22 Planning 23 Population 27 Recreation and Tourism 28 Technology 30' Transportation 32 Index of Authors 33 Index of Titles 39

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FOREWORD This annotated bibliography is a necessary result of the extensive amount of information that has been gathered by the Bureau of Business Research in making a socioeconomic forecast for the tern-county Grand Traverse Bay region. The forecast is being undertaken as part of the Sea Grant Program at the University of Michigan. Members of the Sea Grant team in other disciplines should find the bibliography useful because of the broadness of its subject matter. The entries have been classified in major subject categories that are pertinent to the socioeconomic research being conducted. Entries are listed alphabetically within each category. Subject categories are economics, environment and natural resources, forecasting, management, planning, population, recreation and tourism, technology; and transportation. Many of the citations listed in the bibliography were difficult to organize because it was not always clear whether a name or an agency should be listed as author. An index of both authors and titles is provided at the end of the bibliography. The index of authors is crossreferenced to include all possible "authors" under which the publication might be found. John Ludlow Research Associate Bureau of Business Research University of Michigan

Io

Bureau of Business Research Graduate School of Business Administration University of Michigan ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY OF SOCIOECONOMIC INFORMATION: SEA GRANT PROGRAM Working Paper No. 42 by Chrystie King William R. Cook Research Assistants Prepared for the Sea Grant Program at the University of Michigan July 1971 FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY None of this material is to be quoted or reproduced without the express permission of the Bureau of Business Research