Assessing the Uncertainty in Tropical Cyclone Simulations in NCAR's Community Atmosphere Model
dc.contributor.author | Reed, Kevin A. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Jablonowski, Christiane | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-02-12T19:00:38Z | |
dc.date.available | 2013-02-12T19:00:38Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2011-03 | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | Reed, Kevin A.; Jablonowski, Christiane (2011). "Assessing the Uncertainty in Tropical Cyclone Simulations in NCAR's Community Atmosphere Model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 3(3): n/a-n/a. <http://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/96294> | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1942-2466 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1942-2466 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/96294 | |
dc.publisher | Cambridge Univ. Press | en_US |
dc.publisher | Wiley Periodicals, Inc. | en_US |
dc.subject.other | General Circulation Modeling | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Tropical Cyclones | en_US |
dc.title | Assessing the Uncertainty in Tropical Cyclone Simulations in NCAR's Community Atmosphere Model | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.rights.robots | IndexNoFollow | en_US |
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevel | Geological Sciences | en_US |
dc.subject.hlbtoplevel | Science | en_US |
dc.description.peerreviewed | Peer Reviewed | en_US |
dc.description.bitstreamurl | http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/96294/1/jame39.pdf | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1029/2011MS000076 | en_US |
dc.identifier.source | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Rogers, R., M. L. Black, S. S. Chen, and R. A. Black ( 2007 ), An evaluation of microphysics fields from mesoscale model simulations of tropical cyclones. Part I: Comparisons with observations, J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1811 – 1834, doi: 10.1175/JAS3932.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Reed, K. A., and C. Jablonowski ( 2011 a), An analytic vortex initialization technique for idealized tropical cyclone studies in AGCMs, Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 689 – 710, doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3488.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Reed, K. A., and C. Jablonowski ( 2011 b), Impact of physical parameterizations on idealized tropical cyclones in the community atmosphere model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L04805, doi: 10.1029/2010GL046297. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Richter, J. H., and P. J. Rasch ( 2008 ), Effects of convective momentum transport on the atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3, J. Clim., 21, 1487 – 1499, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1789.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Ringler, T. D., D. Jacobsen, M. Gunzburger, L. Ju, M. Duda, and W. C. Skamarock ( 2011 ), Exploring a multi‐resolution modeling approach within the shallow‐water equations, Mon. Weather Rev., doi: 10.1175/MWR‐D‐10‐05049.1, in press. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Shen, B. W., R. Atlas, J. ‐D. Chern, O. Reale, S. ‐J. Lin, T. Lee, and J. Chang ( 2006 a), The 0.125 degree finite‐volume general circulation model on the NASA Columbia supercomputer: Preliminary simulations of mesoscale vortices, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L05801, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024594. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Shen, B. W., R. Atlas, O. Reale, S. ‐J. Lin, J. ‐D. Chern, J. Chang, C. Henze, and J. ‐L. Li ( 2006 b), Hurricane forecasts with a global mesoscale‐resolving model: Preliminary results with Hurricane Katrina (2005), Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L13813, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026143. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Simmons, A. J., and D. M. Burridge ( 1981 ), An energy and angular‐momentum conserving vertical finite‐difference scheme and hybrid vertical coordinates, Mon. Weather Rev., 109, 758 – 766, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0493(1981)109<0758:AEAAMC>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Smith, R. K. ( 2000 ), The role of cumulus convection in hurricanes and its representation in hurricane models, Rev. Geophys., 38, 465 – 490, doi: 10.1029/1999RG000080. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Stainforth, D. A. ( 2005 ), Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases, Nature, 433, 403 – 406, doi: 10.1038/nature03301. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Stainforth, D. A., M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, and L. A. Smith ( 2007 ), Confidence, uncertainty and decision‐support relevance in climate predictions, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 2145 – 2161, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2074. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Van Sang, N., R. K. Smith, and M. T. Montgomery ( 2008 ), Tropical‐cyclone intensification and predictability in three dimensions, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 563 – 582, doi: 10.1002/qj.235. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Wehner, M. F., G. Bala, P. Duffy, A. A. Mirin, and R. Romano ( 2010 ), Towards direct simulation of future tropical cyclone statistics in a high‐resolution global atmospheric model, Adv. Meteorol., 2010, 915303, doi: 10.1155/2010/915303. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Weller, H., H. G. Weller, and A. Fournier ( 2009 ), Voronoi, Delaunay and block structured mesh refinement for solution of the shallow water equations on the sphere, Mon. Weather Rev., 137, 4208 – 4224, doi: 10.1175/2009MWR2917.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Zhang, G. J., and N. A. McFarlane ( 1995 ), Sensitivity of climate simulations to the parameterization of cumulus convection in the Canadian Climate Centre General Circulation Model, Atmos. Ocean, 33, 407 – 446, doi: 10.1080/07055900.1995.9649539. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Zhao, M., I. M. Held, S. ‐J. Lin, and G. A. Vecchi ( 2009 ), Simulations of global hurricane climatology, interannual variability, and response to global warming using a 50‐km resolution GCM, J. Clim., 22, 6653 – 6678, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3049.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Zhu, H., and A. Thorpe ( 2006 ), Predictability of extratropical cyclones: The influence of initial condition and model uncertainties, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1483 – 1497, doi: 10.1175/JAS3688.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Atlas, R., O. Reale, B. ‐W. Shen, S. ‐J. Lin, J. ‐D. Chern, W. Putman, T. Lee, K. ‐S. Yeh, M. Bosilovich, and J. Radakovich ( 2005 ), Hurricane forecasting with the high‐resolution NASA finite volume general circulation model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L03807, doi: 10.1029/2004GL021513. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Baer, F., H. Wang, J. J. Tribbia, and A. Fournier ( 2006 ), Climate modeling with spectral elements, Mon. Weather Rev., 134, 3610 – 3624, doi: 10.1175/MWR3360.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Bell, M. M., and M. T. Montgomery ( 2008 ), Observed structure, evolution, and potential intensity of Category 5 Hurricane Isabel (2003) from 12 to 14 September, Mon. Weather Rev., 136, 2023 – 2046, doi: 10.1175/2007MWR1858.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J. Luo, and T. Yamagata ( 2007 ), How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus, Ser. A, 59, 539 – 561, doi: 10.1111/j.1600‐0870.2007.00251.x. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Bretherton, C. S., and S. Park ( 2009 ), A new moist turbulence parameterization in the Community Atmosphere Model, J. Clim., 22, 3422 – 3448, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2556.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Doblas‐Reyes, F. J. ( 2009 ), Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 135, 1538 – 1559, doi: 10.1002/qj.464. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Emanuel, K. A. ( 1988 ), The maximum intensity of hurricanes, J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 1143 – 1155, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0469(1988)045<1143:TMIOH>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Hack, J. J. ( 1994 ), Parametrization of moist convection in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model (CCM2), J. Geophys. Res., 99, 5551 – 5568, doi: 10.1029/93JD03478. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Hill, K. A., and G. M. Lackmann ( 2009 ), Analysis of idealized tropical cyclone simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting model: Sensitivity to turbulence parameterization and grid spacing, Mon. Weather Rev., 137, 745 – 765, doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2220.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Holland, G. J. ( 1983 ), Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect, J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 328 – 342, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0469(1983)040<0328:TCMEIP>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Holtslag, A. A. M., and B. A. Boville ( 1993 ), Local versus nonlocal boundary‐layer diffusion in a global climate model, J. Clim., 6, 1825 – 1842, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0442(1993)006<1825:LVNBLD>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Hurrell, J., G. A. Meehl, D. Bader, T. L. Delworth, B. Kirtman, and B. Wielicki ( 2009 ), A unified modeling approach to climate system prediction, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1819 – 1832, doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2752.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Jablonowski, C., and D. L. Williamson ( 2011 ), The pros and cons of diffusion, filters and fixers in atmospheric general circulation models, in Numerical Techniques for Global Atmospheric Models, edited by P. H. Lauritzen et al. Lect. Notes Comput. Sci. Eng., 80, 381 – 493, doi: 10.1007/978‐3‐642‐11640‐7_13. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Jablonowski, C., R. C. Oehmke, and Q. F. Stout ( 2009 ), Block‐structured adaptive meshes and reduced grids for atmospheric general circulation models, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 367, 4497 – 4522, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2009.0150. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Jordan, C. L. ( 1958 ), Mean soundings for the West Indies area, J. Meteorol., 15, 91 – 97, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0469(1958)015<0091:MSFTWI>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Lauritzen, P. H., C. Jablonowski, M. A. Taylor, and R. D. Nair ( 2010 ), Rotated versions of the Jablonowski steadystate and baroclinic wave test cases: A dynamical core intercomparison, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 2, 15, doi: 10.3894/JAMES.2010.2.15. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Lin, S. J. ( 2004 ), A “vertically Lagrangian” finite‐volume dynamical core for global models, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 2293 – 2307, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0493(2004)132<2293:AVLFDC>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Lin, S. J., and R. B. Rood ( 1996 ), Multidimensional flux‐form semi‐Lagrangian transport scheme, Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 2046 – 2070, doi: 10.1175/1520‐0493(1996)124<2046:MFFSLT>2.0.CO;2. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Meehl, G. A. ( 2007 ), Global climate projections, in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al.,pp. 747 – 845, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Montgomery, M. T., M. M. Bell, S. D. Aberson, and M. L. Black ( 2006 ), Hurricane Isabel (2003): New insights into the physics of intense storms. Part I: Mean vortex structure and maximum intensity estimates, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 87, 1335 – 1347, doi: 10.1175/BAMS‐87‐10‐1335. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Murphy, J. M., D. M. H. Sexton, D. N. Barnett, G. S. Jones, M. J. Webb, M. Collins, and D. A. Stainforth ( 2004 ), Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations, Nature, 430, 768 – 772, doi: 10.1038/nature02771. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Neale, R. B., and B. J. Hoskins ( 2000 ), A standard test for AGCMs including their physical parametrizations: I: The proposal, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 1, 101 – 107, doi: 10.1006/asle.2000.0019. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Neale, R. B., J. H. Richter, and M. Jochum ( 2008 ), The impact of convection on ENSO: From a delayed oscillator to a series of events, J. Clim., 21, 5904 – 5924, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2244.1. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Neale, R. B., et al. ( 2010 a), Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 4.0), NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN‐XXX+STR, 206 pp., Natl. Cent. for Atmos. Res, Boulder, Colo. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Neale, R. B., et al. ( 2010 b), Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 5.0), NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN‐XXX+STR,, 282 pp., Natl. Cent. for Atmos. Res, Boulder, Colo. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Nolan, D. S. ( 2007 ), What is the trigger for tropical cyclogenesis? Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 56, 241 – 266. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Oouchi, K., J. Yoshimura, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, S. Kusunoki, and A. Noda ( 2006 ), Tropical cyclone climatology in a global‐warming climate as simulated in a 20 kmmesh global atmospheric model: Frequency and wind intensity analyses, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 84 ( 2 ), 259 – 276, doi: 10.2151/jmsj.84.259. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Palmer, T. N. ( 2000 ), Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate, Rep. Prog. Phys., 63, 71 – 116, doi: 10.1088/0034‐4885/63/2/201. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Palmer, T. N. ( 2001 ), A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for nonlocal stochastic‐dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 279 – 304, doi: 10.1002/qj.49712757202. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Palmer, T. N., F. J. Doblas‐Reyes, A. Weisheimer, and M. J. Rodwell ( 2008 ), Towards seamless prediction, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 89, 459 – 470, doi: 10.1175/BAMS‐89‐4‐459. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citedreference | Park, S., and C. S. Bretherton ( 2009 ), The University of Washington shallow convection and moist turbulence schemes and their impact on climate simulations with the Community Atmosphere Model, J. Clim., 22, 3449 – 3469, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2557.1. | en_US |
dc.owningcollname | Interdisciplinary and Peer-Reviewed |
Files in this item
Remediation of Harmful Language
The University of Michigan Library aims to describe library materials in a way that respects the people and communities who create, use, and are represented in our collections. Report harmful or offensive language in catalog records, finding aids, or elsewhere in our collections anonymously through our metadata feedback form. More information at Remediation of Harmful Language.
Accessibility
If you are unable to use this file in its current format, please select the Contact Us link and we can modify it to make it more accessible to you.