Work Description

Title: Dynamic Material Flow Analysis of Aluminum in the United States: Historical and Projected Data from 1967 to 2050 Embargo Deposited

h
Embargo release date
  • 02/15/2026
Attribute Value
Methodology
  • The Excel dataset contains the results from a flow- driven, embedded-consumption-based DMFA, where the resolution is shape (e.g., extrusion, casting, and sheet) within the end-use sectors, including transportation (auto), transportation (other), building and construction, container and packing, as appeared in the sheet names. The demand, stock, and scrap for each shape in each sector are further categorized by alloy families. The categorization remains consistent across shapes and sectors, except in the transportation (auto) sector. In the transportation (auto) sector, the proportion of general 5xxx and 6xxx sheet remains constant over time, while the split between Ford-specific and remaining 5xxx and 6xxx alloys follows the trajectory from a previous Ford DMFA study by Zhu et al. (2019). The authors calculated 2020 - 2050 material flows based on three demand growth scenarios: BAU, high change, and 2020-continued scenario (explained in the “Readme” tab in the Excel workbook). For each scenario, the authors consider two lifespan distributions for light-duty vehicles, based on the studies of Greene and Liao, respectively. The lifespan distributions for Ford alloys are based on the previous Ford DMFA study by Zhu et al. (2019) using specific Ford vehicle registration data. For the container and packaging sector, the BAU and 2020-continued scenario are defined as 0% CAGR and the high change scenario is defined as 0.5% CAGR.
Description
  • This dataset is curated as a byproduct of the "Material and Vehicle Design for High-Value Recycling of Aluminum and Steel Automotive Sheet" project, funded by the REMADE Institute of the Department of Energy. The dataset presents the historical and projected consumption demand, in-use stock, and scrap volumes of aluminum-based products in the U.S., from 1967 to 2050. The dataset will support future material flow analyses for the U.S. aluminum industry.
Creator
Depositor
Contact information
Discipline
Funding agency
  • Other Funding Agency
  • Department of Energy (DOE)
Other Funding agency
  • Climate Imperative Foundation
Keyword
Date coverage
  • 1967 to 2050
Citations to related material
Resource type
Last modified
  • 02/17/2025
Published
  • 02/17/2025
DOI
  • https://doi.org/10.7302/ztkj-y672
License

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