Show simple item record

Asymmetric Price Movements and Borrowing Constraints: A Rational Expectations Equilibrium Model of Crises, Contagion, and Confusion

dc.contributor.authorYuan, Kathyen_US
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-12T21:03:40Z
dc.date.available2015-11-12T21:03:40Z
dc.date.issued2005-02en_US
dc.identifier.citationYuan, Kathy (2005). "Asymmetric Price Movements and Borrowing Constraints: A Rational Expectations Equilibrium Model of Crises, Contagion, and Confusion." The Journal of Finance 60(1).en_US
dc.identifier.issn0022-1082en_US
dc.identifier.issn1540-6261en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/115906
dc.description.abstractThis study proposes a rational expectations equilibrium model of crises and contagion in an economy with information asymmetry and borrowing constraints. Consistent with empirical observations, the model finds: (1) Crises can be caused by small shocks to fundamentals; (2) market return distributions are asymmetric; and (3) correlations among asset returns tend to increase during crashes. The model also predicts: (1) Crises and contagion are likely to occur after small shocks in the intermediate price region; (2) the skewness of asset price distributions increases with information asymmetry and borrowing constraints; and (3) crises can spread through investor borrowing constraints.en_US
dc.publisherWiley Periodicals, Inc.en_US
dc.publisherBlackwell Publishing, Inc.en_US
dc.titleAsymmetric Price Movements and Borrowing Constraints: A Rational Expectations Equilibrium Model of Crises, Contagion, and Confusionen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.rights.robotsIndexNoFollowen_US
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevelFinanceen_US
dc.subject.hlbtoplevelBusiness and Economicsen_US
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Revieweden_US
dc.contributor.affiliationum1University of Michiganen_US
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/115906/1/jofi733.pdf
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00733.xen_US
dc.identifier.sourceThe Journal of Financeen_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceLongin, François, and Bruno Solnik, 2001, Extreme correlation of international equity markets, Journal of Finance 56, 649 – 676.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKarolyi, Andrew, and Rene Stulz, 1996, Why do markets move together? An investigation of U.S.‐Japan stock return co‐movements, Journal of Finance 51, 951 – 986.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKing, Mervyn, and Sushil Wadhwani, 2000, Transmission of volatility between stock markets, Review of Financial Studies 3, 5 – 33.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKiyotaki, Nobuhiro, and John Moore, 1997, Credit cycles, Journal of Political Economy 105, 211 – 248.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKodres, Laura E., and Matthew Pritsker, 2002, A rational expectations model of financial contagion, Journal of Finance 57, 769 – 800.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKorn, Granino A., and Theresa M. Korn, 1968, Mathematical Handbook for Scientists and Engineers ( McGraw‐Hill: New York, NY ).en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKrugman, Paul, 1998, Balance sheets, the transfer problem, and financial crises, Working paper prepared for the festschrift volume in honor of Robert Flood Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department, Princeton University.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceKyle, Albert S., and Wei Xiong, 2001, Contagion as a wealth effect, Journal of Finance 51, 1401 – 1440.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceMaddala, G. S., 1986, Limited‐Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics ( Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK).en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceMilgrom, Paul, and Nancy Stokey, 1982, Information, trade and common knowledge, Journal of Economic Theory 26, 17 – 27.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferencePindyck, Robert S., 1984, Risk, inflation, and the stock market, American Economic Review 74, 334 – 351.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceRomer, David, 1993, Rational asset‐price movements without news, American Economic Review 83, 1112 – 1130.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceStein, Jeremy C., 1995, Prices and trading volume in the housing market: A model with down‐payment effects, Quarterly Journal of Economics 105, 353 – 379.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceWang, Jiang, 1994, A model of competitive stock trading volume, Journal of Political Economy 112, 127 – 168.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceXiong, Wei, 2001, Convergence trading with wealth effects: An amplification mechanism in financial markets, Journal of Financial Economics 62, 247 – 292.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceYuan, Kathy, 2003, Security trading under asymmetric information and trading constraints, Working paper, University of Michigan.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceAdmati, Anat R., 1985, A noisy rational expectations equilibrium for multi‐asset securities markets, Econometrica 53, 629 – 657.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceAghion, Philippe, Philippe Bacchetta, and Abhijet Banerjee, 1998, Capital markets and instability of open economies, Working paper, Harvard University.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceAng, Andrew, and Joseph Chen, 2002, Asymmetric correlations of equity portfolios, Journal of Financial Economics 63, 443 – 494.DOI: 10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00068-5en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceBarlevy, Gadi, and Pietro Veronesi, 2003, Rational panics and stock market crashes, Journal of Economic Theory 110, 234 – 263.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceBekaert, Geert, and Guojun Wu, 2000, Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets, Review of Financial Studies 13, 1 – 42.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceBoyer, Brian, Tomomi Kumagai, and Kathy Yuan, 2002, Are investors responsible for stock market contagions, Working paper, University of Michigan.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceBoyer, Brain H., and Lu Zheng, 1998, Who moves the market? A study of stock prices and investment cashflows, Working paper, University of Michigan.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceCalvo, Guilermo A., and Enrique G. Mendoza, 1999, Regional contagion and the globalization of securities markets, NBER Working Paper 7153, University of Maryland.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceConnolly, Robert, and Albet Wang, 1998, On stock market return co‐movements: Macroeconomic news, dispersion of beliefs, and contagion, Working paper, Rice University.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceConnolly, Robert, and Albet Wang, 2003, International equity market comovements: Economic fundamentals or contagion? Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11, 23 – 43.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceCulter, David M., James M. Poterba, and Lawrence H. Summers, 1989, What moves stock prices, Journal of Portfolio Management 15, 4 – 12.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceDeGroot, Morris H., 1986, Probability and Statistics ( Addison‐Wesley: Cambridge, MA).en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceDrazen, Allan, 1999, Political contagion in currency crises, NBER Working Paper 7211, University of Maryland.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceFrench, Kenneth R., William G. Schwert, and Robert Stambaugh, 1987, Expected stock returns and volatility, Journal of Financial Economics 19, 3 – 29.DOI: 10.1016/0304-405X(87)90026-2en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceGennotte, Gerard, and Hayes Leland, 1990, Market liquidity, hedging and crashes, American Economic Review 80, 999 – 1021.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceGreene, William H., 1990, Econometric Analysis ( Prentice Hall: New York, NY ).en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceGromb, Denis, and Dimitri Vayanos, 2002, Equilibrium and welfare in markets with financially constrained arbitrageurs, Journal of Financial Economics 66, 361 – 407.DOI: 10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00228-3en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceGrossman, Sanford J., 1976, On the efficiency of competitive stock markets when traders have diverse information, Journal of Finance 31, 573 – 585.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceGrossman, Sanford J., and Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1980, On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets, American Economic Review 70, 393 – 408.en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceHellwig, Martin F., 1980, On the aggregation of information in competitive markets, Journal of Economic Theory 22, 477 – 498.DOI: 10.1016/0022-0531(80)90056-3en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceHong, Harrison, and Jeremy C. Stein, 2003, Differences of opinion, short‐sales constraints, and market crashes, Review of Financial Studies 16, 487 – 525.DOI: 10.1093/rfs/hhg006en_US
dc.identifier.citedreferenceJohnson, Norman L., and Samuel Kotz, 1974, Distribution in Statistics—Continuous Multivariate Distributions ( Wiley: New York, NY ).en_US
dc.owningcollnameInterdisciplinary and Peer-Reviewed


Files in this item

Show simple item record

Remediation of Harmful Language

The University of Michigan Library aims to describe library materials in a way that respects the people and communities who create, use, and are represented in our collections. Report harmful or offensive language in catalog records, finding aids, or elsewhere in our collections anonymously through our metadata feedback form. More information at Remediation of Harmful Language.

Accessibility

If you are unable to use this file in its current format, please select the Contact Us link and we can modify it to make it more accessible to you.