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How will SOA change in the future?
dc.contributor.authorLin, Guangxing
dc.contributor.authorPenner, Joyce E.
dc.contributor.authorZhou, Cheng
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-02T22:02:05Z
dc.date.available2017-04-04T14:50:43Zen
dc.date.issued2016-02-28
dc.identifier.citationLin, Guangxing; Penner, Joyce E.; Zhou, Cheng (2016). "How will SOA change in the future?." Geophysical Research Letters 43(4): 1718-1726.
dc.identifier.issn0094-8276
dc.identifier.issn1944-8007
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/136049
dc.description.abstractSecondary organic aerosol (SOA) plays a significant role in the Earth system by altering its radiative balance. Here we use an Earth system model coupled with an explicit SOA formation module to estimate the response of SOA concentrations to changes in climate, anthropogenic emissions, and human land use in the future. We find that climate change is the major driver for SOA change under the representative concentration pathways for the 8.5 future scenario. Climate change increases isoprene emission rate by 18% with the effect of temperature increases outweighing that of the CO2 inhibition effect. Annual mean global SOA mass is increased by 25% as a result of climate change. However, anthropogenic emissions and land use change decrease SOA. The net effect is that future global SOA burden in 2100 is nearly the same as that of the present day. The SOA concentrations over the Northern Hemisphere are predicted to decline in the future due to the control of sulfur emissions.Key PointsIsoprene increases even with CO2 inhibition effectClimate is the major driver for SOA increaseReduced anthropogenic emissions decreases SOA
dc.publisherCambridge Univ. Press
dc.publisherWiley Periodicals, Inc.
dc.subject.otherbiosphere and atmosphere interactions
dc.subject.otherbiogenic VOCs
dc.subject.otheraerosol
dc.subject.otherclimate change
dc.subject.otheratmospheric chemistry
dc.subject.otherSOA
dc.titleHow will SOA change in the future?
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.rights.robotsIndexNoFollow
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevelGeological Sciences
dc.subject.hlbtoplevelScience
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Reviewed
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/136049/1/grl53994_am.pdf
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/136049/2/grl53994-sup-0001-supplementary.pdf
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/136049/3/grl53994.pdf
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/2015GL067137
dc.identifier.sourceGeophysical Research Letters
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dc.owningcollnameInterdisciplinary and Peer-Reviewed


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