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Big Jump of Record Warm Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2014–2016 Related to Unusually Large Oceanic Heat Releases

dc.contributor.authorYin, Jianjun
dc.contributor.authorOverpeck, Jonathan
dc.contributor.authorPeyser, Cheryl
dc.contributor.authorStouffer, Ronald
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-07T18:23:30Z
dc.date.available2019-03-01T21:00:17Zen
dc.date.issued2018-01-28
dc.identifier.citationYin, Jianjun; Overpeck, Jonathan; Peyser, Cheryl; Stouffer, Ronald (2018). "Big Jump of Record Warm Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2014–2016 Related to Unusually Large Oceanic Heat Releases." Geophysical Research Letters 45(2): 1069-1078.
dc.identifier.issn0094-8276
dc.identifier.issn1944-8007
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/142431
dc.description.abstractA 0.24°C jump of record warm global mean surface temperature (GMST) over the past three consecutive record‐breaking years (2014–2016) was highly unusual and largely a consequence of an El Niño that released unusually large amounts of ocean heat from the subsurface layer of the northwestern tropical Pacific. This heat had built up since the 1990s mainly due to greenhouse‐gas (GHG) forcing and possible remote oceanic effects. Model simulations and projections suggest that the fundamental cause, and robust predictor of large record‐breaking events of GMST in the 21st century, is GHG forcing rather than internal climate variability alone. Such events will increase in frequency, magnitude, and duration, as well as impact, in the future unless GHG forcing is reduced.Key PointsA 0.24°C jump of record warm global mean surface temperature over the past three consecutive years (2014–2016) was highly unusualIt was a result of an El Niño that released unusually large amounts of ocean heat previously accumulated in the western tropical PacificLarge record‐breaking events of global surface temperature are projected to increase in the future unless greenhouse‐gas forcing is reduced
dc.publisherCambridge University Press
dc.publisherWiley Periodicals, Inc.
dc.subject.otherrecord warm global temperature
dc.subject.otherocean heat release
dc.subject.otherEl Niño
dc.subject.othermodel simulation and projection
dc.titleBig Jump of Record Warm Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2014–2016 Related to Unusually Large Oceanic Heat Releases
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.rights.robotsIndexNoFollow
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevelGeological Sciences
dc.subject.hlbtoplevelScience
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Reviewed
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/142431/1/grl56888_am.pdf
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/142431/2/grl56888-sup-0001-2017GL076500-SI.pdf
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/142431/3/grl56888.pdf
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/2017GL076500
dc.identifier.sourceGeophysical Research Letters
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dc.owningcollnameInterdisciplinary and Peer-Reviewed


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