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An Evaluation of Short‐Term Forecasts of Coffee and Cocoa

dc.contributor.authorDietrich, J. Kimball
dc.contributor.authorGutierrez, Alfredo D.
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-13T15:17:10Z
dc.date.available2020-01-13T15:17:10Z
dc.date.issued1973-02
dc.identifier.citationDietrich, J. Kimball; Gutierrez, Alfredo D. (1973). "An Evaluation of Short‐Term Forecasts of Coffee and Cocoa." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 55(1): 93-99.
dc.identifier.issn0002-9092
dc.identifier.issn1467-8276
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/153085
dc.description.abstractPredictive performance of short‐term forecasts of production is evaluated using a technique which minimizes the average squared difference between actual and forecast values. Forecasting errors are decomposed into two components reflecting the forecast system and a residual component. Many forecasts resulted in underestimation and contained large but unsystematic errors.
dc.publisherOxford University Press
dc.publisherWiley Periodicals, Inc.
dc.titleAn Evaluation of Short‐Term Forecasts of Coffee and Cocoa
dc.typeArticle
dc.rights.robotsIndexNoFollow
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevelEconomics
dc.subject.hlbtoplevelBusiness and Economics
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Reviewed
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/153085/1/ajae1238670.pdf
dc.identifier.doi10.2307/1238670
dc.identifier.sourceAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics
dc.owningcollnameInterdisciplinary and Peer-Reviewed


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