Tricuspid regurgitation velocity and other biomarkers of mortality in children, adolescents and young adults with sickle cell disease in the United States: The PUSH study

Abstract

In the US, mortality in sickle cell disease (SCD) increases after age 18- 20- years. Biomarkers of mortality risk can identify patients who need intensive follow- up and early or novel interventions. We prospectively enrolled 510 SCD patients aged 3- 20- years into an observational study in 2006- 2010 and followed 497 patients for a median of 88- months (range 1- 105). We hypothesized that elevated pulmonary artery systolic pressure as reflected in tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRV) would be associated with mortality. Estimated survival to 18- years was 99% and to 25- years, 94%. Causes of death were known in seven of 10 patients: stroke in four (hemorrhagic two, infarctive one, unspecified one), multiorgan failure one, parvovirus B19 infection one, sudden death one. Baseline TRV - ¥2.7 m/second (>2 SD above the mean in age- matched and gender- matched non- SCD controls) was observed in 20.0% of patients who died vs 4.6% of those who survived (P =- .012 by the log rank test for equality of survival). The baseline variable most strongly associated with an elevated TRV was a high hemolytic rate. Additional biomarkers associated with mortality were ferritin - ¥2000- μg/L (observed in 60% of patients who died vs 7.8% of survivors, P <- .001), forced expiratory volume in 1 minute to forced vital capacity ratio (FEV1/FVC) <0.80 (71.4% of patients who died vs 18.8% of survivors, P <- .001), and neutrophil count - ¥10x109/L (30.0% of patients who died vs 7.9% of survivors, P =- .018). In SCD children, adolescents and young adults, steady- state elevations of TRV, ferritin and neutrophils and a low FEV1/FVC ratio may be biomarkers associated with increased risk of death.