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dc.contributor.authorEdwards, Ryan D.
dc.contributor.authorLee, Ronald D.
dc.contributor.authorAnderson, Michael W.
dc.contributor.authorBoe, Carl
dc.date.accessioned2007-04-25T19:23:33Z
dc.date.available2007-04-25T19:23:33Z
dc.date.issued2003-03
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/50575
dc.description.abstractThe Tuljapurkar-Lee (henceforth \TL") model generates a large set of Monte Carlo simulations of future outcomes in the U.S. Social Security system. Four types of key macrodemographic and macroeconomic variables are modeled as stochastic components using standard time series methods. These include age-speci c mortality rates, age-speci c fertility rates, the rate of growth in real covered wages per capita, and real rates of return on two classes of nancial assets: the special-issue Treasury obligations in the Social Security Trust Fund, and the S&P 500 stock index. This paper is a revision of the technical appendix in Lee and Edwards (2002), updated to reect the modeling techniques employed during the latest round of revision to the TL model.en
dc.description.sponsorshipSocial Security Administrationen
dc.format.extent212976 bytes
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen_USen
dc.publisherMichigan Retirement Research Center, University of Michigan, P.O. Box 1248, Ann Arbor, MI 48104en
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWP 2003-044en
dc.titleKey Equations in the Tuljapurkar-Lee Model of the Social Security System.en
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevelPopulation and Demography
dc.subject.hlbtoplevelSocial Sciences
dc.contributor.affiliationotherUniversity of California at Berkeleyen
dc.contributor.affiliationotherStanford Universityen
dc.contributor.affiliationumcampusAnn Arboren
dc.description.bitstreamurlhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/50575/1/wp044.pdfen_US
dc.owningcollnameRetirement Research Center, Michigan (MRRC)


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