A Preliminary Time Series Analysis of Church Activity in Colonial Woodbury, Connecticut

Abstract

We examine a small part of the substantial detailed data on church activity for colonial Woodbury, Connecticut. Time series regression analysis suggests that religious activity in Woodbury, as reflected in new church members and baptisms, is influenced by wars and economic activity but not influenced by particular ministers. Regional population trends influence church activity so long as the church is established. Deviations from trend occur because of periodic revivals. The Great Awakening, however, is a continuation of underlying trend.