Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar
dc.contributor.author | Raxworthy, Christopher J. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Pearson, Richard G. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Rabibisoa, Nirhy | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Rakotondrazafy, Andry M. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Ramanamanjato, Jean-Baptiste | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Raselimanana, Achille P. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Wu, Shenghai | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Nussbaum, Ronald A. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Stone, Dáithí A. | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2010-06-01T21:44:48Z | |
dc.date.available | 2010-06-01T21:44:48Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2008-08 | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | RAXWORTHY, CHRISTOPHER J.; PEARSON, RICHARD G.; RABIBISOA, NIRHY; RAKOTONDRAZAFY, ANDRY M.; RAMANAMANJATO, JEAN-BAPTISTE; RASELIMANANA, ACHILLE P.; WU, SHENGHAI; NUSSBAUM, RONALD A.; STONE, DÁITHÍ A. (2008). "Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar." Global Change Biology 14(8): 1703-1720. <http://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/74789> | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1354-1013 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1365-2486 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/2027.42/74789 | |
dc.description.abstract | One of the predicted biological responses to climate warming is the upslope displacement of species distributions. In the tropics, because montane assemblages frequently include local endemics that are distributed close to summits, these species may be especially vulnerable to experiencing complete habitat loss from warming. However, there is currently a dearth of information available for tropical regions. Here, we present a preliminary appraisal of this extinction threat using the herpetological assemblage of the Tsaratanana Massif in northern Madagascar (the island's highest massif), which is rich with montane endemism. We present meteorological evidence (individual and combined regional weather station data and reanalysis forecast data) for recent warming in Madagascar, and show that this trend is consistent with recent climate model simulations. Using standard moist adiabatic lapse rates, these observed meteorological warming trends in northern Madagascar predict upslope species displacement of 17–74 m per decade between 1993 and 2003. Over this same period, we also report preliminary data supporting a trend for upslope distribution movements, based on two surveys we completed at Tsaratanana. For 30 species, representing five families of reptiles and amphibians, we found overall mean shifts in elevational midpoint of 19–51 m upslope (mean lower elevation limit 29–114 m; mean upper elevation limit −8 to 53 m). We also found upslope trends in mean and median elevational observations in seven and six of nine species analysed. Phenological differences between these surveys do not appear to be substantial, but these upslope shifts are consistent with the predictions based on meteorological warming. An elevational range displacement analysis projects complete habitat loss for three species below the 2 °C ‘dangerous’ warming threshold. One of these species is not contracting its distribution, but the other two were not resampled in 2003. A preliminary review of the other massifs in Madagascar indicates potential similar vulnerability to habitat loss and upslope extinction. Consequently, we urgently recommend additional elevational surveys for these and other tropical montane assemblages, which should also include, when possible, the monitoring of local meteorological conditions and habitat change. | en_US |
dc.format.extent | 2231201 bytes | |
dc.format.extent | 3109 bytes | |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | |
dc.format.mimetype | text/plain | |
dc.publisher | Blackwell Publishing Ltd | en_US |
dc.rights | Journal compilation © 2008 Blackwell Publishing | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Amphibia | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Conservation | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Distribution | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Elevation Shifts | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Endemism | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Extinction | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Global Warming | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Madagascar | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Reptilia | en_US |
dc.title | Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevel | Ecology and Evolutionary Biology | en_US |
dc.subject.hlbsecondlevel | Geology and Earth Sciences | en_US |
dc.subject.hlbtoplevel | Science | en_US |
dc.description.peerreviewed | Peer Reviewed | en_US |
dc.contributor.affiliationum | § Museum of Zoology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-1079, USA , | en_US |
dc.contributor.affiliationother | American Museum of Natural History, Central Park West at 79th Street, New York, New York 10024-5192, USA , | en_US |
dc.contributor.affiliationother | † DÉpartement de Biologie Animale, UniversitÉ d'Antananarivo, BP 906, Antananarivo (101), Madagascar , | en_US |
dc.contributor.affiliationother | † Department of Zoology, National Chung-Hsing University, 250 Kuo-Kwang Road, Taichung 402, Taiwan , | en_US |
dc.contributor.affiliationother | ¶ Departments of Physics (AOPP) and Zoology, University of Oxford, Clarendon Laboratory, Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PU, UK | en_US |
dc.description.bitstreamurl | http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/74789/1/j.1365-2486.2008.01596.x.pdf | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01596.x | en_US |
dc.identifier.source | Global Change Biology | en_US |
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