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  • Results for "New Findings from Explainable SYM-H Forecasting using Gradient Boosting Machines"

    work
    Creator:
    Iong, Daniel, Chen, Yang, Toth, Gabor, Zou, Shasha, Pulkkinen, Tuija I., Ren, Jiaen, Camporeale, Enrico, and Gombosi, Tamas I. I.
    Description:
    In this work, we trained gradient boosted trees using XGBoost to predict the SYM-H forecasting using different combinations of solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) parameters. Data are in csv and Python pickle formats.
    Keyword:
    SYM-H forecasting
    Citation to related publication:
    Iong, D., Y. Chen, G. Toth, S. Zou, T. I. Pulkkinen, J. Ren, E. Camporeale, and T. I. Gombosi, New Findings from Explainable SYM-H Forecasting using Gradient Boosting Machines, Space Weather,11, accepted, 2022.  https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10508063.3
    Discipline:
    Science

  • Dataset Containing Global Modeling Results Comparing Magnetopause Distances and CPCP

    work
    Creator:
    Agnit Mukhopadhyay
    Description:
    Conducting quantitative metrics-based performance analysis of first-principles-based global magnetosphere models is an essential step in understanding their capabilities and limitations, and providing scope for improvements in order to enhance their space weather prediction capabilities for a range of solar conditions. In this study, a detailed comparison of the performance of three global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models in predicting the Earth’s magnetopause location and ionospheric cross polar cap potential (CPCP) has been presented. Using the Community Coordinated Modeling Center’s Run-on-Request system and extensive database on results from various magnetospheric scenarios simulated for a variety of solar wind conditions, the aforementioned model predictions have been compared for magnetopause standoff distance estimations obtained from six empirical models, and with cross polar cap potential estimations obtained from the Assimmilative Mapping of Ionospheric Electrodynamics (AMIE) Model and the Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) observations. We have considered a range of events spanning different space weather activity to analyze the performance of these models. Using a fit performance metric analysis for each event, we have quantified the models’ reproducibility of magnetopause standoff distances and CPCP against empirically-predicted observations, and identified salient features that govern the performance characteristics of the modeled magnetospheric and ionospheric quantities.
    Citation to related publication:
    Mukhopadhyay, A., Jia, X., Welling, D. T., & Liemohn, M. W. (2021). Global Magnetohydrodynamic Simulations: Performance Quantification of Magnetopause Distances and Convection Potential Predictions. Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 8.  https://doi.org/10.3389/fspas.2021.637197
    Discipline:
    Engineering and Science

  • MHD-AEPIC simulation data of the geomagnetic storm event

    work
    Creator:
    Xiantong Wang
    Description:
    We perform a geomagnetic event simulation using a newly developed magnetohydrodynamic with adaptively embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-AEPIC) model. We have developed effective criteria to identify reconnection sites in the magnetotail and cover them with the PIC model. The MHD-AEPIC simulation results are compared with Hall MHD and ideal MHD simulations to study the impacts of kinetic reconnection at multiple physical scales. At the global scale, the three models produce very similar SYM-H and SuperMag Electrojet (SME) indexes, which indicates that the global magnetic field configurations from the three models are very close to each other. At the mesoscale we compare the simulations with in situ Geotail observations in the tail. All three models produce reasonable agreement with the Geotail observations. The MHD-AEPIC and Hall MHD models produce tailward and earthward propagating fluxropes, while the ideal MHD simulation does not generate flux ropes in the near-earth current sheet. At the kinetic scales, the MHD-AEPIC simulation can produce a crescent shape distribution of the electron velocity space at the electron diffusion region which agrees very well with MMS observations near a tail reconnection site. These electron scale kinetic features are not available in either the Hall MHD or ideal MHD models. Overall, the MHD-AEPIC model compares well with observations at all scales, it works robustly, and the computational cost is acceptable due to the adaptive adjustment of the PIC domain.
    Keyword:
    MHD, PIC, and Magnetosphere
    Discipline:
    Science