In this work, we perform Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) for the background solar wind in order to quantify contributions from uncertainty of different model parameters to the variability of in-situ solar wind speed and density at 1au, both of which have a major impact on CME propagation and strength. Scripts written in the Julia language are used to build the PCE and calculate the sensitivity results. Data is available in csv, NetCDF and JLD files. A `Project.toml` file is included to activate and install all required dependencies (See README for details).
In this work, we trained gradient boosted trees using XGBoost to predict the SYM-H forecasting using different combinations of solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) parameters. Data are in csv and Python pickle formats.
Iong, D., Y. Chen, G. Toth, S. Zou, T. I. Pulkkinen, J. Ren, E. Camporeale, and T. I. Gombosi, New Findings from Explainable SYM-H Forecasting using Gradient Boosting Machines, Space Weather,11, accepted, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10508063.3
